Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T11:53:40+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

6A
0x6a01…9b63
other · 127 markets active 2h ago
4.5score
+$12 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$9 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fading edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$9
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)9%
Wins / losses11 / 116
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions0
Markets (closed)127 / 127
History coverage109d
Avg bet$113
Trades / day2.8
Drawdown92%
Kalshi-fit63%
Chart Positions 0 History 127 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$0
7 days−$1
14 days−$1
30 days−$3
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Raptors vs. Clippers Raptors 39¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Nets vs. Lakers Nets 9¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Clippers vs. Mavericks Mavericks 30¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Suns vs. Grizzlies Grizzlies 14¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Mavericks vs. Nuggets Mavericks 16¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Pistons vs. Thunder Pistons 16¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Raptors vs. Pistons Raptors 41¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Thunder vs. Pistons Thunder 29¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Kings vs. Rockets Kings 12¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Warriors vs. Mavericks Mavericks 47¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Rockets vs. Timberwolves Rockets 56¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
Spurs vs. Raptors Raptors 28¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Jun 14 $105 $0 -0%
Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Jun 14 $16 $0 -0%
Will Ed Davey be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026 Jun 14 $12 $0 -0%
Will Nico Hülkenberg be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 12 $227 $0 -0%
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 11 $19 $0 -0%
Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 09 $13 $0 -0%
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? Jun 07 $11 $0 -0%
Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Jun 07 $130 $0 -0%
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Jun 06 $21 $0 -0%
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of May 2026? May 30 $198 $0 -0%
Will Valérie Pécresse win the 2027 French presidential election? May 25 $124 $0 -0%
Will Franco Colapinto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? May 24 $336 $0 -0%
Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? May 23 $311 −$1 -0%
Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? May 23 $119 $0 -0%
Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? May 23 $305 $0 -0%
Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 20 $199 $0 -0%
Will Luis Gilberto Murillo win the 2026 Colombian presidential electio May 17 $92 $0 -0%
Will Clémentine Autain win the 2027 French presidential election? May 16 $99 $0 -0%
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 15 $94 $0 -0%
Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? May 13 $129 $0 -0%
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? May 12 $107 $0 -0%
Will Poland win Eurovision 2026? May 11 $442 $0 -0%
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? May 11 $106 $0 -0%
Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026? May 10 $228 $0 -0%
Will Yaël Braun-Pivet win the 2027 French presidential election? May 10 $125 $0 -0%
Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election? May 10 $329 $0 -0%
Will Luxembourg win Eurovision 2026? May 07 $120 $0 -0%
Will Jeon Hyun-heui win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election May 06 $214 $0 -0%
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30? May 06 $21 $0 +0%
Will François Bayrou win the 2027 French presidential election? May 04 $80 $0 -0%
Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 03 $175 $0 -0%
Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? May 03 $108 $0 -0%
Will Park Ju-min win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election May 03 $88 $0 -0%
Will Gina Raimondo win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? May 03 $77 $0 -0%
Will Cho Kuk win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election May 02 $82 $0 -0%
Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? May 02 $89 $0 -0%
Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? May 01 $88 $0 -0%
Will Liam Lawson be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Apr 30 $78 $0 -0%
Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Apr 28 $130 $0 -0%
Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Apr 27 $238 $0 -0%
Will Elise Stefanik win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Apr 26 $132 $0 -0%
Will Tony Thurmond win the California Governor Election in 2026? Apr 26 $122 $0 -0%
Will Alexander Albon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Apr 24 $108 $0 -0%
Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Apr 24 $122 $0 -0%
Will Isack Hadjar be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Apr 24 $320 $0 -0%
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Apr 22 $118 $0 -0%
Will Germán Vargas Lleras win the 2026 Colombian presidential election Apr 22 $100 $0 -0%
Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 22 $108 $0 -0%
Will Xavier Bertrand win the 2027 French presidential election? Apr 22 $129 $0 -0%
Will Portugal win Eurovision 2026? Apr 20 $20 $0 -0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 49% −$8
politics 36% −$7
sports 9% +$25
tech 3% $0
economics 2% $0
crypto 2% $0
finance 1% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? SELL No 99¢ $16 1h
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? BUY No 99¢ $16 6h
Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? SELL No 99¢ $16 6h
Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? BUY No 99¢ $16 9h
Will Ed Davey be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026 SELL No 100¢ $12 9h
Will Ed Davey be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026 BUY No 100¢ $12 15h
Will Nico Hülkenberg be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL No 100¢ $18 2d
Will Nico Hülkenberg be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY No 100¢ $18 2d
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 99¢ $19 3d
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 99¢ $19 5d
Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? SELL No 100¢ $13 5d
Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? BUY No 100¢ $13 6d
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? SELL No 100¢ $11 6d
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? BUY No 100¢ $11 7d
Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? SELL No 99¢ $13 7d
Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? BUY No 99¢ $13 7d
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election? SELL No 99¢ $21 7d
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election? BUY No 99¢ $21 8d
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of May 2026? SELL No 100¢ $109 15d
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of May 2026? BUY No 100¢ $109 20d
Will Valérie Pécresse win the 2027 French presidential election? SELL No 99¢ $124 20d
Will Valérie Pécresse win the 2027 French presidential election? BUY No 99¢ $124 20d
Will Franco Colapinto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL No 100¢ $109 20d
Will Franco Colapinto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY No 100¢ $109 21d
Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? SELL No 99¢ $112 21d
Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? BUY No 99¢ $112 22d
Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? SELL No 99¢ $119 22d
Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? BUY No 99¢ $119 22d
Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? SELL No 99¢ $95 22d
Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? BUY No 99¢ $95 23d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +6%
net ROI/market (all)-8.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 7 -0.2% -9.7% 0% 0% -9.6%
≤30d 19 -0.1% -9.7% 0% 0% -9.6%
≤90d 119 -5.3% -14.3% 7% 4% -9.9%
all 127 +0.8% -8.8% 9% 6% -9.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2.8 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -8.8% 6% -9.5%
10% -17.5% 6% -18.1%
15% -25.5% 5% -26.0%
20% -32.8% 4% -33.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 354 history records