trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 14 | -2.5% | -11.8% | 57% | 57% | +2.6% |
| ≤30d | 17 | -7.9% | -16.7% | 53% | 53% | +1.1% |
| ≤90d | 125 | -49.2% | -54.0% | 23% | 23% | -63.3% |
| all | 502 | -1.7% | -11.0% | 47% | 44% | -13.1% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | -11.0% | 44% | -13.1% |
| 10% | -19.6% | 44% | -21.4% |
| 15% ← realistic here | -27.3% | 43% | -29.0% |
| 20% | -34.5% | 41% | -36.0% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 50¢ | 80¢ | $127,505 | $203,115 | +$75,610 (+59%) |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 50¢ | 20¢ | $127,505 | $51,869 | −$75,636 (-59%) |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 50¢ | 63¢ | $5,500 | $6,890 | +$1,390 (+25%) |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 50¢ | 37¢ | $5,500 | $4,108 | −$1,392 (-25%) |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22? | Yes | 66¢ | 64¢ | $1,320 | $1,290 | −$30 (-2%) |
| Spread: France (-2.5) | France | 56¢ | 55¢ | $1,120 | $1,090 | −$30 (-3%) |
| Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 2¢ | 1¢ | $160 | $125 | −$35 (-22%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | Jun 22 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Jun 22 | $1 | −$251 | -40840% |
| Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 22 | $1,517 | +$902 | +60% |
| Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 22 | $824 | −$513 | -62% |
| Spread: Uruguay (-1.5) | Jun 22 | $1,011 | +$576 | +57% |
| Spread: Belgium (-1.5) | Jun 21 | $1,013 | +$741 | +73% |
| Spread: Spain (-2.5) | Jun 21 | $1,013 | +$773 | +76% |
| Belgium vs. IR Iran: O/U 2.5 | Jun 21 | $1,014 | −$1,000 | -99% |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 21 | $764 | +$436 | +57% |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 20 | $657 | +$343 | +52% |
| Ecuador vs. Curaçao: O/U 2.5 | Jun 20 | $627 | −$620 | -99% |
| Spread: Netherlands (-1.5) | Jun 20 | $670 | −$670 | -100% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 19 | $203 | +$197 | +97% |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 17 | $202 | +$110 | +55% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $203 | +$205 | +101% |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 11 | $202 | −$200 | -99% |
| Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates | Jun 11 | $102 | −$100 | -98% |
| Golden Knights vs. Avalanche | May 23 | $1,026 | −$503 | -49% |
| Thunder vs. Spurs | May 23 | $1,170 | −$1,155 | -99% |
| Canadiens vs. Hurricanes | May 23 | $177 | +$33 | +19% |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | May 21 | $931 | +$651 | +70% |
| Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | May 21 | $1,927 | +$1,577 | +82% |
| Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League? | May 19 | $641 | −$630 | -98% |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | May 19 | $102 | +$116 | +114% |
| Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | May 18 | $44 | −$33 | -74% |
| Pistons vs. Cavaliers | May 17 | $101 | +$199 | +197% |
| Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals? | May 15 | $206 | +$1,324 | +644% |
| Spread: Spurs (-9.5) | May 15 | $203 | +$175 | +86% |
| Sabres vs. Canadiens | May 12 | $203 | −$200 | -99% |
| Avalanche vs. Wild | May 12 | $203 | +$148 | +73% |
| Pistons vs. Cavaliers | May 11 | $102 | −$100 | -98% |
| Cavaliers vs. Pistons | May 10 | $202 | +$120 | +60% |
| 76ers vs. Knicks | May 06 | $22 | −$22 | -100% |
| Flyers vs. Hurricanes | May 05 | $101 | +$87 | +86% |
| 76ers vs. Knicks | May 05 | $202 | +$76 | +38% |
| Flyers vs. Penguins | Apr 20 | $145 | −$145 | -100% |
| Warriors vs. Suns | Apr 20 | $590 | +$398 | +67% |
| Ducks vs. Oilers | Apr 20 | $100 | −$98 | -98% |
| Hawks vs. Knicks | Apr 18 | $140 | −$140 | -100% |
| Blues vs. Utah | Apr 16 | $150 | −$150 | -100% |
| Golden Knights vs. Avalanche | Apr 16 | $114 | −$114 | -100% |
| Jets vs. Blues: O/U 5.5 | Apr 16 | $183 | −$98 | -53% |
| Canadiens vs. Flyers | Apr 16 | $395 | −$395 | -100% |
| Canadiens vs. Islanders | Apr 16 | $104 | −$104 | -100% |
| Stars vs. Sabres | Apr 16 | $108 | +$92 | +85% |
| Jets vs. Utah | Apr 16 | $180 | +$101 | +56% |
| Capitals vs. Blue Jackets | Apr 16 | $120 | +$166 | +138% |
| Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | Apr 15 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |
| Avalanche vs. Oilers | Apr 14 | $25 | +$20 | +82% |
| Red Wings vs. Lightning | Apr 14 | $30 | +$20 | +66% |