Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T08:58:49+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

69
0x69fe…6f39
other · 666 markets active 1h ago
2.0score
+$34 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$34 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1
Realized+$34
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)99%
Wins / losses657 / 7
Open positions1
Markets (closed)664 / 666
History coverage19d
Avg bet$8
Trades / day34.8
Drawdown30%
Kalshi-fit3%
Chart Positions 1 History 664 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$11
7 days+$26
14 days+$33
30 days+$34
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? Yes 68¢ 98¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+44%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Down 7¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 31, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 11, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Down 98¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on May 28? Down 91¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Up 84¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 4, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Down 99¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +2%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +2%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +2%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $8 $0 +2%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +2%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +2%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +2%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +2%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +2%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 100% +$38
crypto 0% −$4
sports 0% $0
politics 0% $0
weather 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $10 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET SELL Down 50¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET SELL Down 45¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Down 38¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET SELL Down 80¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET SELL Up 46¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET SELL Up 49¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Down 7¢ $1 1h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 1h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 2h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 2h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 2h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 3h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 3h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 4h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 5h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 5h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 6h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $3 6h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 6h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 6h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 9h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 10h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 10h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $6 11h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 12h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +2%
net ROI/market (all)-9.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 307 +0.4% -9.1% 99% 2% -8.7%
≤30d 664 +0.5% -9.1% 99% 2% -9.0%
≤90d 664 +0.5% -9.1% 99% 2% -9.0%
all 664 +0.5% -9.1% 99% 2% -9.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover34.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.1% 2% -9.0%
10% ← realistic here -17.8% 1% -17.7%
15% -25.7% 0% -25.6%
20% -33.0% 0% -32.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1.44 · official $1.44 (match) · 1328 history records