Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T19:26:17+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

69
0x69f7…90ca
crypto · 28 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$296 -6%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$289 · open −$7
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$366
Realized−$289
Unrealized−$7
Win rate (resolved)48%
Wins / losses12 / 13
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions3
Markets (closed)25 / 28
History coverage4d
Avg bet$189
Trades / day21.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit82%
Chart Positions 3 History 25 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$145
7 days−$289
14 days−$289
30 days−$289
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Yes 54¢ 50¢ $278 $260 −$18 (-6%)
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Yes 20¢ 22¢ $90 $101 +$11 (+12%)
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? Yes 28¢ 26¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-5%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 12 $304 −$12 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $305 −$42 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $302 +$18 +6%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $134 −$126 -94%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $293 +$181 +62%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $10 +$4 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 11 $298 +$42 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 10 $205 +$69 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 10 $205 +$11 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 10 $183 +$34 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 10 $359 +$21 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 10 $209 −$30 -14%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 09 $1 $0 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 09 $311 −$108 -35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 09 $305 −$7 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 09 $309 −$19 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 09 $94 −$39 -42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 09 $84 −$4 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 09 $74 +$10 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 09 $917 −$290 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 09 $1 $0 -0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 85% −$348
other 15% +$52
sports 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? BUY Yes 28¢ $5 1h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 20¢ $92 1h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 54¢ $282 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET SELL Down 67¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET SELL Down 72¢ $285 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Down 72¢ $304 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET SELL Down 60¢ $263 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $305 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET SELL Down 87¢ $320 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $302 1h
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 2¢ $9 15h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 72¢ $404 15h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? SELL No 76¢ $2 15h
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 28¢ $68 17h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? SELL No 62¢ $68 17h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY No 60¢ $69 17h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 39¢ $102 17h
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 31¢ $46 17h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 39¢ $102 17h
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 32¢ $15 17h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 38¢ $20 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET SELL Down 90¢ $340 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Down 77¢ $298 22h
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 33¢ $5 23h
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 69¢ $10 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET SELL Up 84¢ $274 44h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $205 44h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET SELL Down 31¢ $1 46h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Down 21¢ $1 46h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET SELL Down 66¢ $1 46h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +32%
net ROI/market (all)-15.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 25 -6.6% -15.5% 48% 32% -14.8%
≤30d 25 -6.6% -15.5% 48% 32% -14.8%
≤90d 25 -6.6% -15.5% 48% 32% -14.8%
all 25 -6.6% -15.5% 48% 32% -14.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover21.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -15.5% 32% -14.8%
10% ← realistic here -23.6% 12% -23.0%
15% -31.0% 8% -30.4%
20% -37.7% 4% -37.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $365.83 · official $365.83 (match) · 77 history records