trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on June 9? | Jun 12 | $1 | $0 | +20% |
| Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on June 9? | Jun 12 | $1 | $0 | +29% |
| Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on June 5? | Jun 12 | $0 | +$1 | +526% |
| Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on June 4? | Jun 12 | $1 | $0 | +28% |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on June 4? | Jun 12 | $0 | $0 | +45% |
| Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on June 8? | Jun 12 | $1 | $0 | +15% |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on June 8? | Jun 12 | $1 | $0 | +3% |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 8? | Jun 12 | $0 | $0 | +96% |
| Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on June 7? | Jun 12 | $0 | $0 | +335% |
| Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on June | Jun 12 | $0 | $0 | +24% |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on June 9? | Jun 12 | $0 | $0 | +22% |
| Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on June 6? | Jun 12 | $0 | $0 | -100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 22°C on June 8? | Jun 12 | $0 | $0 | -100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 82-83°F on June 5? | Jun 12 | $0 | $0 | -100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on June 11? | Jun 11 | $28 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on June 11? | Jun 11 | $26 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on June 10? | Jun 10 | $19 | $0 | +2% |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 10? | Jun 10 | $21 | $0 | +0% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 18 | +55.5% | +40.7% | 83% | 72% | +16.2% |
| ≤30d | 18 | +55.5% | +40.7% | 83% | 72% | +16.2% |
| ≤90d | 18 | +55.5% | +40.7% | 83% | 72% | +16.2% |
| all | 18 | +55.5% | +40.7% | 83% | 72% | +16.2% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | +40.7% | 72% | +16.2% |
| 10% ← realistic here | +27.2% | 50% | +5.1% |
| 15% | +14.9% | 33% | -5.1% |
| 20% | +3.7% | 28% | -14.4% |