Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T20:00:55+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

69
0x69eb…763d
crypto · 650 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$223 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$223 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$223
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)81%
Wins / losses527 / 123
Open positions0
Markets (closed)650 / 650
History coverage4d
Avg bet$14
Trades / day875.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 650 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$85
7 days−$223
14 days−$223
30 days−$223
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Up 92¢ 0¢ $29 $0 −$29 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Down 95¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Down 96¢ 0¢ $21 $0 −$21 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Down 95¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Down 92¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Down 90¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Down 93¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $11 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 12 $15 +$1 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 -3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 12 $15 +$1 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 12 $15 −$2 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 12 $15 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 12 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 12 $29 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 12 $29 +$1 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 12 $9 +$1 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$4 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 12 $24 +$1 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +2%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$223
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $6 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $5 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $5 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $5 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $6 27m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET SELL Down 93¢ $5 27m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $5 28m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET SELL Up 90¢ $4 33m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $5 33m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET SELL Up 96¢ $5 33m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $5 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET SELL Down 97¢ $5 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $5 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $6 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $5 37m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $5 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $5 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET SELL Down 80¢ $4 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET SELL Down 80¢ $4 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET SELL Down 84¢ $5 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $6 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $5 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $5 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET SELL Up 97¢ $5 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $6 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $5 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $5 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $5 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +9%
net ROI/market (all)-11.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 650 -2.4% -11.7% 81% 9% -11.7%
≤30d 650 -2.4% -11.7% 81% 9% -11.7%
≤90d 650 -2.4% -11.7% 81% 9% -11.7%
all 650 -2.4% -11.7% 81% 9% -11.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover875.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.7% 9% -11.7%
10% ← realistic here -20.1% 4% -20.2%
15% -27.9% 2% -27.9%
20% -34.9% 1% -34.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records