Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T21:59:12+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

69
0x69e7…7cb7
sports · 846 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$5,080 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$5,254 · open +$174
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$514
Realized−$5,254
Unrealized+$174
Win rate (resolved)62%
Wins / losses527 / 318
Whale WR (big bets)82%
Est. fees paid−$327
Open positions1
Markets (closed)845 / 846
History coverage183d
Avg bet$383
Trades / day10.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit52%
Chart Positions 1 History 845 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$125
7 days+$591
14 days+$2,174
30 days+$3,315
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? Yes 66¢ 100¢ $340 $514 +$174 (+51%)
Andrej Kramaric: Anytime Goalscorer Yes 47¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Spread: Crystal Palace FC (-1.5) Crystal Palace FC 34¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06? Yes 79¢ 0¢ $6,676 $0 −$6,676 (-100%)
Aston Villa FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 3.5 Under 84¢ 0¢ $401 $0 −$401 (-100%)
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-29? Yes 66¢ 0¢ $600 $0 −$600 (-100%)
Will 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 win on 2026-05-02? Yes 75¢ 0¢ $1,500 $0 −$1,500 (-100%)
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5 Under 31¢ 0¢ $43 $0 −$43 (-100%)
Will 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 win on 2026-05-16? Yes 49¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Spread: AS Monaco FC (-1.5) AS Monaco FC 71¢ 0¢ $85 $0 −$85 (-100%)
Harry Kane: Anytime Goalscorer Yes 60¢ 0¢ $60 $0 −$60 (-100%)
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia: Anytime Goalscorer Yes 37¢ 0¢ $53 $0 −$53 (-100%)
Flavio Cobolli vs. Learner Tien: Total Sets O/U 3.5 Over 3.5 66¢ 0¢ $60 $0 −$60 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Pablo Carreno Busta Thiago Agustin Tirante 69¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? Yes 38¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Ilkley: Henrique Rocha vs Charles Broom Charles Broom 62¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Chelsea FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: Both Teams to Score No 65¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic Novak Djokovic 65¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Geneva Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Thiago Agustin Tirante Thiago Agustin Tirante 62¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2026-05-03? Yes 60¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-05-24? Yes 82¢ 0¢ $126 $0 −$126 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Flavio Cobolli Felix Auger-Aliassime 50¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 1.5 Under 12¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Aston Villa FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 2.5 Under 48¢ 0¢ $68 $0 −$68 (-100%)
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5) Paris Saint-Germain FC 31¢ 0¢ $45 $0 −$45 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $36 +$35 +99%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $106 −$92 -87%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $201 +$42 +21%
Spread: Mexico (-1.5) Jun 11 $45 +$54 +120%
Mexico vs. South Africa: Mexico O/U 1.5 Jun 11 $51 +$31 +61%
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-10? Jun 10 $89 +$56 +62%
Ilkley: Mark Lajal vs Michael Zheng Jun 10 $30 +$20 +67%
Libema Open: Otto Virtanen vs Kamil Majchrzak Jun 10 $301 +$9 +3%
Ilkley: Henrique Rocha vs Charles Broom Jun 10 $30 −$30 -99%
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev Jun 07 $3,904 +$467 +12%
Will DR Congo vs. Denmark end in a draw? Jun 03 $25 +$19 +74%
Will Denmark win on 2026-06-03? Jun 03 $98 −$24 -25%
Felix Auger-Aliassime vs. Flavio Cobolli: Total Sets O/U 3.5 Jun 03 $50 +$21 +42%
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Flavio Cobolli Jun 03 $30 −$30 -98%
Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Alexander Zverev Jun 02 $2,001 +$43 +2%
Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldi Jun 02 $1,727 −$49 -3%
Will Austria win on 2026-06-01? Jun 01 $300 +$65 +22%
Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-01? Jun 01 $14 −$14 -98%
World Championships: Switzerland vs. Finland Jun 01 $61 +$46 +75%
Spread: Germany (-1.5) Jun 01 $50 +$20 +40%
Will Germany win on 2026-05-31? May 31 $201 +$29 +15%
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Brandon Nakashima May 31 $151 +$38 +25%
Jaime Faria vs. Frances Tiafoe: Total Sets O/U 3.5 May 31 $61 +$29 +48%
Roland Garros ATP: Jaime Faria vs Frances Tiafoe May 31 $916 −$47 -5%
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? May 30 $1,119 +$1,106 +99%
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Raphael Collignon May 30 $665 +$8 +1%
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30? May 30 $527 +$415 +79%
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? May 30 $102 −$100 -98%
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Learner Tien May 30 $301 +$32 +11%
Flavio Cobolli vs. Learner Tien: Total Sets O/U 3.5 May 30 $61 −$60 -99%
Nice vs. Saint-Etienne: O/U 3.5 May 30 $50 +$12 +24%
Nice vs. Saint-Etienne: O/U 2.5 May 30 $39 +$26 +65%
Roland Garros ATP: Alex Michelsen vs Rafael Jodar May 29 $30 +$6 +21%
Roland Garros ATP: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Pablo Carreno Busta May 29 $50 −$50 -99%
Roland Garros ATP: Raphael Collignon vs Ben Shelton May 28 $578 +$155 +27%
Roland Garros ATP: Francisco Comesana vs Luciano Darderi May 28 $2,221 +$5 +0%
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic May 28 $51 −$50 -99%
Roland Garros ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Jesper de Jong May 28 $50 −$50 -99%
Roland Garros ATP: Alejandro Tabilo vs Valentin Vacherot May 28 $51 −$2 -3%
Kosice: Federico Bondioli vs Kilian Feldbausch May 28 $108 +$38 +35%
Roland Garros ATP: Facundo Acosta vs Learner Tien May 28 $4,836 −$414 -9%
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-05-27? May 27 $247 +$92 +37%
Crystal Palace FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: Both Teams to Score May 27 $101 +$24 +24%
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Dino Prizmic May 27 $251 −$34 -14%
Spread: Crystal Palace FC (-1.5) May 27 $9 −$9 -98%
Roland Garros ATP: Ugo Humbert vs Quentin Halys May 27 $152 +$103 +68%
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-05-24? May 24 $127 −$126 -100%
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-23? May 24 $1,121 +$462 +41%
Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5) May 24 $117 +$31 +26%
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5) May 23 $128 +$22 +17%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 63% −$4,629
sports 34% −$1,003
world 3% +$552
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? BUY Yes 77¢ $101 1h
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? BUY Yes 72¢ $101 1h
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? BUY Yes 65¢ $30 1h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 8¢ $14 1h
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? BUY Yes 61¢ $101 1h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 61¢ $20 1h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 60¢ $20 1h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 59¢ $20 1h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 58¢ $30 1h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 54¢ $10 1h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 51¢ $15 1h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 48¢ $25 3h
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? BUY Yes 28¢ $10 3h
Mexico vs. South Africa: Mexico O/U 1.5 BUY Over 59¢ $20 25h
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 88¢ $50 25h
Mexico vs. South Africa: Mexico O/U 1.5 BUY Over 63¢ $30 26h
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 87¢ $100 26h
Spread: Mexico (-1.5) BUY Mexico 50¢ $20 26h
Spread: Mexico (-1.5) BUY Mexico 41¢ $24 28h
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 70¢ $50 28h
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-10? BUY Yes 61¢ $59 2d
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-10? BUY Yes 60¢ $10 2d
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-10? BUY Yes 61¢ $20 2d
Libema Open: Otto Virtanen vs Kamil Majchrzak BUY Kamil Majchrzak 85¢ $100 2d
Libema Open: Otto Virtanen vs Kamil Majchrzak BUY Kamil Majchrzak 78¢ $20 2d
Libema Open: Otto Virtanen vs Kamil Majchrzak BUY Kamil Majchrzak 90¢ $100 2d
Libema Open: Otto Virtanen vs Kamil Majchrzak BUY Kamil Majchrzak 89¢ $50 2d
Ilkley: Mark Lajal vs Michael Zheng BUY Mark Lajal 59¢ $30 2d
Ilkley: Henrique Rocha vs Charles Broom BUY Charles Broom 62¢ $30 2d
Libema Open: Otto Virtanen vs Kamil Majchrzak BUY Otto Virtanen 54¢ $30 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +52%
net ROI/market (all)-16.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 10 +25.9% +13.9% 80% 70% +1.6%
≤30d 91 +5.0% -5.0% 68% 64% +0.3%
≤90d 644 -21.0% -28.5% 53% 45% -16.8%
all 845 -7.8% -16.6% 62% 52% -11.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover10.2 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -16.6% 52% -11.0%
10% -24.6% 38% -19.5%
15% -31.8% 28% -27.3%
20% -38.5% 18% -34.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $514.30 · official $514.30 (match) · 2667 history records