trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Exact Score: Any Other Score? | Yes | 57¢ | 100¢ | $10 | $17 | +$7 (+75%) |
| Exact Score: Germany 3 - 0 Curaçao? | Yes | 16¢ | 0¢ | $15 | $0 | −$15 (-100%) |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? | Yes | 83¢ | 0¢ | $100 | $0 | −$100 (-100%) |
| Exact Score: Qatar 1 - 2 Switzerland? | Yes | 9¢ | 0¢ | $11 | $0 | −$11 (-100%) |
| Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 3 Switzerland? | Yes | 17¢ | 0¢ | $15 | $0 | −$15 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $150 | +$6 | +4% |
| Exact Score: Qatar 1 - 2 Switzerland? | Jun 13 | $11 | −$11 | -97% |
| Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 3 Switzerland? | Jun 13 | $15 | −$15 | -98% |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $101 | −$100 | -100% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 11 | $18 | +$3 | +16% |
| Exact Score: Mexico 3 - 0 South Africa? | Jun 11 | $10 | −$8 | -74% |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-06? | Jun 11 | $1 | +$2 | +203% |
| Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | Mar 06 | $11 | −$6 | -51% |
| Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | Mar 06 | $7 | −$6 | -87% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting? | Nov 24 | $14 | $0 | -1% |
| Dota 2: Team Spirit vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winner | Nov 23 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 in November? | Nov 23 | $10 | $0 | -0% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 7 | -21.5% | -29.0% | 43% | 29% | -45.8% |
| ≤30d | 7 | -21.5% | -29.0% | 43% | 29% | -45.8% |
| ≤90d | 7 | -21.5% | -29.0% | 43% | 29% | -45.8% |
| all | 12 | -32.5% | -38.9% | 25% | 17% | -45.0% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -38.9% | 17% | -45.0% |
| 10% | -44.8% | 8% | -50.3% |
| 15% | -50.1% | 8% | -55.1% |
| 20% | -55.0% | 8% | -59.5% |