Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T04:53:21+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

69
0x69df…fa38
other · 6 markets active 1h ago
3.5score
−$311 -30%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$307 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY ⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$307
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses3 / 3
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)6 / 6
History coverage2d
Avg bet$174
Trades / day7.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit17%
Chart Positions 0 History 6 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$252
7 days−$307
14 days−$307
30 days−$307
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 59¢ 0¢ $289 $0 −$289 (-100%)
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 81¢ 0¢ $80 $0 −$80 (-100%)
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Yes 53¢ 0¢ $55 $0 −$55 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 14 $64 +$3 +5%
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $148 +$15 +10%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $444 −$291 -66%
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $80 −$80 -99%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $254 +$102 +40%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $56 −$55 -99%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 94% −$310
sports 6% +$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Knicks vs. Spurs SELL Knicks 100¢ $67 1h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 95¢ $64 1h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 100¢ $64 1h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 73¢ $47 3h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 59¢ $292 7h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 63¢ $99 7h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 58¢ $146 7h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 63¢ $101 24h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 81¢ $80 24h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 59¢ $152 25h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 100¢ $217 25h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 46¢ $102 31h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 45¢ $138 31h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 48¢ $152 2d
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 53¢ $56 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +17%
net ROI/market (all)-46.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 6 -40.9% -46.5% 50% 17% -40.5%
≤30d 6 -40.9% -46.5% 50% 17% -40.5%
≤90d 6 -40.9% -46.5% 50% 17% -40.5%
all 6 -40.9% -46.5% 50% 17% -40.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover7.7 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -46.5% 17% -40.5%
10% -51.6% 17% -46.2%
15% -56.3% 17% -51.4%
20% -60.6% 0% -56.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 15 history records