Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T09:35:23+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

69
0x69d3…ac12
crypto · 1528 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$267 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,896 · open +$3
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$16
Realized−$1,896
Unrealized+$3
Win rate (resolved)55%
Wins / losses958 / 797
Open positions2
Markets (closed)1755 / 1528
History coverage45d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day57.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 2 History 1755 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1,742
7 days−$1,742
14 days−$1,765
30 days−$1,826
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Up 59¢ 100¢ $4 $6 +$2 (+69%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Up 32¢ 50¢ $4 $5 +$2 (+55%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Up 75¢ 100¢ $4 $5 +$1 (+33%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Up 79¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Down 94¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Down 9¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Down 21¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Up 71¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Up 66¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Up 22¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Down 68¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Up 77¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Up 80¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Down 80¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 14 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 14 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 14 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 14 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 14 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 14 $22 −$22 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 14 $0 −$1 -1252%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$11 -1210%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 14 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 14 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 14 $0 −$1 -2117%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 14 $22 −$22 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 14 $0 +$1 +1017%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 14 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 14 $0 −$1 -1102%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 14 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 14 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 14 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$154
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $4 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $4 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $4 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET SELL Up 60¢ $3 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $4 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET SELL Up 77¢ $4 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $4 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $3 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $4 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET SELL Up 40¢ $3 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $4 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $3 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET SELL Up 23¢ $2 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $4 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET SELL Down 11¢ $0 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $3 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET SELL Up 36¢ $3 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $4 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET SELL Up 7¢ $0 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $4 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $4 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET SELL Up 37¢ $2 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET SELL Up 16¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET SELL Up 15¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $5 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +37%
net ROI/market (all)-19.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 256 -73.4% -75.9% 7% 6% -93.3%
≤30d 1669 -11.0% -19.5% 55% 37% -30.0%
≤90d 1755 -11.2% -19.6% 55% 37% -29.4%
all 1755 -11.2% -19.6% 55% 37% -29.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover57.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -19.6% 37% -29.4%
10% ← realistic here -27.3% 26% -36.2%
15% -34.3% 17% -42.4%
20% -40.8% 11% -48.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $16.42 · official $16.42 (match) · 3500 history records