trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 14 | -10.9% | -19.4% | 57% | 57% | +4.8% |
| ≤30d | 16 | -18.5% | -26.2% | 50% | 50% | -30.7% |
| ≤90d | 16 | -18.5% | -26.2% | 50% | 50% | -30.7% |
| all | 16 | -18.5% | -26.2% | 50% | 50% | -30.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -26.2% | 50% | -30.7% |
| 10% | -33.3% | 50% | -37.4% |
| 15% | -39.7% | 31% | -43.4% |
| 20% | -45.6% | 25% | -49.0% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 7¢ | 7¢ | $39 | $39 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 2¢ | 3¢ | $5 | $8 | +$2 (+46%) |
| Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 6¢ | 6¢ | $5 | $5 | +$0 (+3%) |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | 18¢ | 14¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-25%) |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | Yes | 1¢ | 0¢ | $1 | $0 | −$1 (-81%) |
| Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.1–0.2%? | Yes | 1¢ | 0¢ | $1 | $0 | −$1 (-83%) |
| Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%? | Yes | 4¢ | 1¢ | $1 | $0 | −$1 (-85%) |
| Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–0.1%? | Yes | 2¢ | 0¢ | $1 | $0 | −$1 (-94%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 19 | $26 | +$11 | +42% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 19 | $15 | +$9 | +60% |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 18 | $4 | +$1 | +32% |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 18 | $15 | +$5 | +34% |
| Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 18 | $10 | +$5 | +51% |
| UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Ca | Jun 15 | $2 | −$2 | -99% |
| Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $3 | −$3 | -98% |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Spread: Germany (-3.5) | Jun 14 | $5 | +$5 | +97% |
| Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 14 | $4 | +$1 | +31% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $5 | −$5 | -99% |
| Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) | Jun 13 | $10 | −$10 | -99% |
| Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $0 | $0 | -100% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $5 | +$5 | +101% |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential elect | Jun 12 | $215 | −$92 | -43% |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 8? | Jun 08 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |