Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T06:48:17+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
69 0x69d0…1a0d crypto 1551 markets active 7d ago coverage 31d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 30d only
✗ bot/MM pace (112 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$480 (-30%) realized −$480 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -61% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -70% what you keep after slip
Net edge-70%after slip
Net WR2%break-even
Win rate3%60W / 1888L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$1per market
Trades / day112.4pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$170
7 days−$217
14 days−$210
30 days−$210
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 88% −$96
other 12% +$9
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (112 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +2%
net ROI/market (all)-64.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 404 -98.9% -99.0% 1% 0% -55.9%
≤30d 416 -96.1% -96.5% 3% 0% -32.4%
≤90d 1948 -61.1% -64.8% 3% 2% -22.9%
all 1948 -61.1% -64.8% 3% 2% -22.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover112.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -64.8% 2% -22.9%
10% ← realistic here -68.2% 2% -30.3%
15% -71.3% 2% -37.0%
20% -74.1% 2% -43.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 2% · top 2 4% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -15% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
20% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -61% · $-wt -15% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -53% → late -69% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
2.2 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$11 vs −$0 · ×22.65 wins bigger than losses
Profit factor
×0.72 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

31d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$480
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)3%
Wins / losses60 / 1888
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1948 / 1551
History coverage31d ⚠
Avg bet$1
Trades / day112.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1948 Trades
no open positions (500 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - April 26, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 17 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 1, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 17 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 3, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 17 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 3, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 17 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 3, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 17 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 4, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 17 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 8, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 17 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 20, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 17 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 20, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 17 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 1, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 17 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 26, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 17 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 4, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 17 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 26, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 17 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 30, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 17 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 6, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 17 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 19, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 17 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 27, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 17 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 26, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 17 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 1, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 17 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 27, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 17 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 4, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 17 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 21, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 17 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 10, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 17 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 30, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 17 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 5, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 17 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 5, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 17 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 30, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 17 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 30, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 17 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 21, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 17 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 22, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 17 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 3, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 17 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 26, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 17 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 10, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 17 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 21, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 17 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 9, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 17 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 21, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 17 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 7, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 17 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 4, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 17 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 20, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 17 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 26, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 17 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 2, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 17 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 2, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 17 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 1, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 17 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 6, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 17 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 30, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 17 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 9, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 17 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 4, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 17 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 2, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 17 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 21, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 17 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 23, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 17 $0 $0 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET SELL Up 6¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $18 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET SELL Up 16¢ $6 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET SELL Up 16¢ $6 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET SELL Up 16¢ $6 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 19¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $42 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET SELL Up 5¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET SELL Up 5¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET SELL Up 5¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET SELL Up 5¢ $0 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET SELL Up 5¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Up 11¢ $12 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET SELL Up 19¢ $19 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Up 17¢ $18 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $49 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET SELL Down 87¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET SELL Down 87¢ $12 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET SELL Down 87¢ $6 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET SELL Down 87¢ $4 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET SELL Down 87¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET SELL Down 87¢ $4 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET SELL Down 87¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET SELL Down 87¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET SELL Down 87¢ $3 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $40 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET SELL Up 45¢ $17 6d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records