trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 4 | +122.5% | +101.3% | 75% | 75% | +133.4% |
| ≤30d | 4 | +122.5% | +101.3% | 75% | 75% | +133.4% |
| ≤90d | 4 | +122.5% | +101.3% | 75% | 75% | +133.4% |
| all | 74 | -3.6% | -12.8% | 45% | 45% | +4.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -12.8% | 45% | +4.7% |
| 10% | -21.1% | 43% | -5.3% |
| 15% | -28.7% | 43% | -14.4% |
| 20% | -35.7% | 41% | -22.8% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16? | Yes | 14¢ | 18¢ | $3 | $4 | +$1 (+25%) |
| Will France win on 2026-06-16? | Yes | 66¢ | 48¢ | $4 | $3 | −$1 (-28%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Ca | Jun 15 | $5 | +$17 | +342% |
| UFC Freedom 250: Steve Garcia vs. Diego Lopes (Featherweight, Main Car | Jun 15 | $5 | +$4 | +70% |
| UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card) | Jun 14 | $2 | −$2 | -98% |
| UFC 326: Charles Oliveira vs. Max Holloway (Lightweight, Main Card) | Jun 14 | $1 | +$2 | +178% |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? | Feb 28 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Heat vs. Bulls | Jan 30 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Kings vs. 76ers | Jan 30 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Pistons vs. Nuggets | Jan 27 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025? | Jan 26 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Patriots vs. Broncos | Jan 26 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026? | Jan 26 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Rams vs. Seahawks | Jan 26 | $2 | +$2 | +79% |
| Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026? | Jan 26 | $3 | +$2 | +75% |
| Steelers vs. Bengals | Nov 02 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Tigers vs. Mariners | Nov 02 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 World Series? | Nov 02 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Lions vs. Chiefs | Nov 02 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Dolphins vs. Browns | Nov 02 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Dodgers vs. Blue Jays | Nov 02 | $2 | +$3 | +160% |
| Dodgers vs. Blue Jays | Nov 01 | $5 | +$4 | +75% |
| Rams vs. Jaguars | Oct 30 | $1 | +$1 | +64% |
| Cubs vs. Brewers | Oct 12 | $1 | +$1 | +85% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025? | Oct 10 | $6 | $0 | -8% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $125K in July? | Sep 28 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Rockies vs. Mariners | Sep 28 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Twins vs. Rockies | Sep 28 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Rays vs. Orioles | Sep 28 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Yankees vs. Blue Jays | Sep 28 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Giants vs. Braves | Sep 28 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Astros vs. Mariners | Sep 28 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Rockies vs. Orioles | Sep 28 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Marlins vs. Phillies | Sep 28 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| White Sox vs. Yankees | Sep 28 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Tigers vs. Rangers | Sep 28 | $4 | −$4 | -100% |
| Dodgers vs. Diamondbacks | Sep 26 | $1 | +$1 | +67% |
| Mets vs. Cubs | Sep 26 | $1 | +$1 | +92% |
| Mariners vs. Angels | Jul 27 | $1 | +$1 | +79% |
| Guardians vs. Royals | Jul 27 | $1 | +$1 | +117% |
| Marlins vs. Brewers | Jul 27 | $1 | +$1 | +144% |
| Padres vs. Marlins | Jul 23 | $1 | +$1 | +75% |
| Tigers vs. Pirates | Jul 23 | $1 | +$1 | +117% |
| Cardinals vs. Rockies | Jul 23 | $1 | +$1 | +138% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $120K in July? | Jul 14 | $1 | +$2 | +233% |
| Phillies vs. Padres | Jul 14 | $1 | +$1 | +82% |
| Marlins vs. Orioles | Jul 14 | $1 | +$1 | +127% |
| Mariners vs. Tigers | Jul 14 | $1 | +$1 | +133% |
| Pirates vs. Twins | Jul 14 | $1 | +$1 | +138% |
| Phillies vs. Padres | Jul 13 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Blue Jays vs. Athletics | Jul 13 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Rangers vs. Astros | Jul 13 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |