Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T18:07:04+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

69
0x69cc…a721
crypto · 70 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$16 -10%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$15 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$15
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)55%
Wins / losses38 / 31
Open positions1
Markets (closed)69 / 70
History coverage22d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day6.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 69 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$4
7 days−$6
14 days−$7
30 days−$15
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Down 22¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Down 14¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Up 82¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Down 69¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +116%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 12 $12 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 12 $8 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $7 $0 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $11 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$1 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 09 $2 −$1 -49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 09 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET May 30 $1 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET May 30 $1 −$1 -74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET May 30 $5 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET May 30 $2 $0 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET May 30 $1 $0 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET May 30 $1 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET May 30 $2 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET May 30 $1 $0 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET May 30 $2 −$1 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET May 30 $1 $0 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET May 30 $1 $0 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET May 27 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET May 27 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET May 27 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET May 27 $1 $0 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET May 27 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET May 27 $1 $0 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET May 27 $1 $0 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET May 27 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET May 27 $2 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET May 27 $1 +$2 +166%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET May 27 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET May 27 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET May 27 $1 +$1 +124%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$16
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $1 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $2 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $1 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Up 82¢ $5 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $5 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $7 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $6 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $5 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET SELL Up 51¢ $2 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $2 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $5 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET SELL Up 81¢ $7 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $6 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET SELL Down 23¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Down 24¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET SELL Down 11¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Down 86¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET SELL Up 73¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET SELL Down 5¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Down 77¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET SELL Down 7¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 31¢ $1 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +42%
net ROI/market (all)-22.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 26 -14.5% -22.7% 54% 23% -15.8%
≤30d 69 -13.9% -22.1% 55% 42% -18.4%
≤90d 69 -13.9% -22.1% 55% 42% -18.4%
all 69 -13.9% -22.1% 55% 42% -18.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover6.4 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -22.1% 42% -18.4%
10% -29.5% 22% -26.3%
15% -36.3% 16% -33.4%
20% -42.6% 10% -39.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.64 (match) · 180 history records