Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T13:51:08+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

69
0x69c9…ae07
crypto · 520 markets active 1h ago
2.5score
+$8 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$8 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$8
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)66%
Wins / losses344 / 176
Open positions0
Markets (closed)520 / 520
History coverage27d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day22.2
Drawdown98%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 520 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$9
7 days−$21
14 days−$25
30 days+$8
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Up 76¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Up 66¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Up 67¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Up 68¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Up 67¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Up 64¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Up 76¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Up 70¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Up 67¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Up 66¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Up 73¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Up 69¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Up 69¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Up 71¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Up 67¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Up 67¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$3 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$3 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$3 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$2 +49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$3 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$3 +63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$3 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 10 $5 +$3 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 10 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 10 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 10 $5 +$2 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 10 $4 −$4 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 10 $5 +$3 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 09 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 09 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 09 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 09 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 09 $5 +$3 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 08 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 08 $5 +$3 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 08 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 08 $5 +$3 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 08 $5 +$2 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 08 $5 +$3 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 07 $5 +$3 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 07 $5 +$4 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 07 $5 +$3 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 07 $5 +$3 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 06 $5 +$3 +67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 05 $5 +$2 +49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 05 $5 +$3 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 05 $4 +$3 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 05 $4 −$4 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 05 $5 +$3 +64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 04 $5 +$3 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 04 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 04 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 04 $4 +$4 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 04 $4 −$4 -97%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$8
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $5 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $5 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $5 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $5 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $5 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $4 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $4 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $5 30h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $5 43h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $5 43h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $5 43h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $5 46h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $5 47h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $5 47h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $5 47h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $3 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $4 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $5 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $4 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $5 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $5 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $5 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $5 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $5 4d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +66%
net ROI/market (all)-11.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 39 -11.7% -20.1% 56% 56% -19.7%
≤30d 520 -1.6% -11.0% 66% 66% -9.2%
≤90d 520 -1.6% -11.0% 66% 66% -9.2%
all 520 -1.6% -11.0% 66% 66% -9.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover22.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.0% 66% -9.2%
10% ← realistic here -19.5% 58% -17.9%
15% -27.3% 47% -25.9%
20% -34.4% 34% -33.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1019 history records