Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T08:06:25+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
69 0x69c7…b03c crypto 500 markets active 0h ago coverage 4d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 3d onlyP/L from Polymarket (history capped)
✗ bot/MM pace (869 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ on-chain reconstruction ≠ official P&L (longshot/capped history)✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL +$27,068 (+689%) realized +$27,068 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -2% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -24% what you keep after slip
Net edge-24%after slip
Net WR5%break-even
Win rate5%25W / 498L
Drawdown30%max
Avg bet$8per market
Trades / day869.0pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$2now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$9,644
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (869 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +5%
net ROI/market (all)-11.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 523 -1.6% -11.0% 5% 5% +4.7%
≤30d 523 -1.6% -11.0% 5% 5% +4.7%
≤90d 523 -1.6% -11.0% 5% 5% +4.7%
all 523 -1.6% -11.0% 5% 5% +4.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover869.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.0% 5% +4.7%
10% ← realistic here -19.5% 5% -5.3%
15% -27.3% 5% -14.4%
20% -34.4% 5% -22.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 13% · top 2 26% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +180% fresh edge ✓
Fragile wins
0% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -2% · $-wt +180% edge needs big-bet sizing — not flat-copyable
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +81% → late -84% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
6.9 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$415 vs −$7 · ×57.93 wins bigger than losses
Profit factor
×2.91 per $1 lost it wins $2.91
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

4d coverage
Net worth$2
Realized+$27,068
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)5%
Wins / losses25 / 498
Open positions0
Markets (closed)523 / 500
History coverage4d ⚠
Avg bet$8
Trades / day869.0
Drawdown30%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 523 Trades
no open positions (500 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - May 19, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 15 $0 +$1 +2404%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 15 $0 +$1 +3234%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 15 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 15 $37 −$37 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 4, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 15 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 1, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 15 $8 −$8 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 15 $6 −$6 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 15 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 15 $4 −$4 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 15 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 4, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 15 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 27, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 15 $12 −$12 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 15 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 2, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 15 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 15 $7 −$7 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 15 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 2, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 15 $12 −$12 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 6, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 15 $16 −$16 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 2, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 15 $4 −$4 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 24, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 15 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 15 $8 −$8 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 30, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 15 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 15 $24 −$24 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 22, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 15 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 15 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 15 $79 −$79 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 15 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 15 $20 −$20 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 10, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 15 $21 −$21 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 15 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 15 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 15 $4 −$4 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 30, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 15 $6 −$6 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 15 $4 −$4 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 4, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 15 $7 −$7 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 19, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 15 $7 −$7 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 15, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 29, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 15 $4 −$4 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 28, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 15 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 15 $8 −$8 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 26m
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 26m
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $1 26m
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 26m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 51m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $1 51m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 51m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 51m
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Up 3¢ $3 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Up 3¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Up 3¢ $0 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Up 3¢ $0 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Up 3¢ $0 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Up 3¢ $0 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Up 3¢ $0 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Up 3¢ $0 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Up 3¢ $0 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Up 3¢ $0 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Up 3¢ $0 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Up 3¢ $0 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Up 3¢ $0 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Up 3¢ $0 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Up 3¢ $0 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Up 3¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Up 3¢ $0 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Down 3¢ $0 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Down 3¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 3¢ $0 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 3¢ $0 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1.51 · official $0.00 · 3500 history records