trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 6 | -6.8% | -15.7% | 50% | 50% | -40.7% |
| ≤30d | 7 | -15.2% | -23.3% | 43% | 43% | -41.5% |
| ≤90d | 7 | -15.2% | -23.3% | 43% | 43% | -41.5% |
| all | 9 | -34.0% | -40.3% | 33% | 33% | -51.9% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -40.3% | 33% | -51.9% |
| 10% | -46.0% | 22% | -56.5% |
| 15% | -51.2% | 11% | -60.7% |
| 20% | -56.0% | 0% | -64.6% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will England win on 2026-06-27? | Yes | 83¢ | 84¢ | $421 | $429 | +$8 (+2%) |
| ITF Gdansk: Mina Hodzic vs Anastasiya Sobolieva | Anastasiya Sobolieva | 70¢ | 69¢ | $95 | $93 | −$2 (-2%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27? | Jun 27 | $402 | −$22 | -5% |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-26? | Jun 27 | $5 | +$1 | +20% |
| Will Egypt vs. IR Iran end in a draw? | Jun 27 | $201 | −$192 | -96% |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 27 | $4 | −$1 | -23% |
| Will France win on 2026-06-26? | Jun 26 | $3 | +$1 | +40% |
| Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential ele | Jun 26 | $2 | $0 | +24% |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | May 31 | $19 | −$12 | -66% |
| Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair? | Jan 30 | $37 | −$37 | -100% |
| Will Phan Van Giang be elected General Secretary of the Vietnamese Com | Jan 21 | $100 | −$100 | -100% |