Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T09:36:43+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

69
0x69b7…ae1d
sports · 798 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$1,815 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,815 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$21
Realized−$1,815
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)58%
Wins / losses461 / 336
Whale WR (big bets)50%
Est. fees paid−$285
Open positions1
Markets (closed)797 / 798
History coverage132d
Avg bet$56
Trades / day16.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 797 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$15
7 days−$137
14 days−$129
30 days−$437
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Bilibili Gaming 82¢ 81¢ $21 $21 −$0 (-1%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Game Handicap: BLG (-2.5) vs Team WE (+2.5) Jun 13 $21 $0 -2%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner Jun 13 $21 +$1 +4%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $17 +$3 +20%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $7 +$3 +43%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox Jun 13 $11 −$8 -74%
LoL: G2 NORD vs WLGaming Esports - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $8 +$3 +40%
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $6 +$2 +27%
Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5) Jun 12 $6 $0 -3%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $7 $0 -3%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $29 −$12 -40%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 12 $14 +$5 +32%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner Jun 12 $7 +$7 +93%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $14 −$7 -50%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $10 −$7 -67%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $3 +$5 +181%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $12 +$4 +31%
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: ONIC vs Bigetron by Vitality - Game 1 Winner Jun 11 $3 −$3 -100%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $9 +$3 +36%
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5) Jun 11 $11 −$2 -23%
LoL: Top Esports Challenger vs CTBC Flying Oyster Academy - Game 2 Win Jun 11 $2 +$1 +31%
LoL: Weibo Gaming Youth Team vs Saigon Warriors - Game 2 Winner Jun 11 $4 −$2 -45%
LoL: Weibo Gaming Youth Team vs Saigon Warriors - Game 1 Winner Jun 11 $36 −$25 -70%
LoL: Top Esports Challenger vs CTBC Flying Oyster Academy - Game 1 Win Jun 11 $32 −$3 -10%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $149 −$50 -34%
Spread: Spurs (-20.5) Jun 11 $16 +$8 +51%
LoL: EDward Gaming Youth Team vs CTBC Flying Oyster Academy - Game 1 W Jun 10 $3 −$3 -100%
Game Handicap: EDGY (-1.5) vs CTBC Flying Oyster Academy (+1.5) Jun 10 $6 −$3 -49%
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Dewa United Esports vs Geek Fam ID (BO5) - M Jun 10 $9 +$1 +17%
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Dewa United Esports vs Geek Fam ID - Game 1 Jun 10 $11 −$6 -54%
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights Jun 10 $9 +$2 +24%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays Jun 10 $13 −$4 -34%
Map Handicap: MNTE (-1.5) vs paiN (+1.5) Jun 09 $4 −$4 -100%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 09 $49 −$46 -93%
LoL: RED Canids vs Fluxo W7M - Game 2 Winner Jun 08 $30 +$5 +15%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 08 $30 +$15 +50%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 08 $44 +$12 +26%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 08 $72 −$62 -86%
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 1 Winner Jun 07 $50 −$50 -100%
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 2 Winner Jun 07 $104 +$16 +15%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffs Jun 07 $50 +$18 +36%
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 3 Winner Jun 07 $74 +$13 +18%
LoL: FlyQuest vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner Jun 06 $50 +$24 +48%
LoL: FURIA Esports vs LOS (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffs Jun 06 $39 +$11 +28%
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp - Game 3 Winner Jun 06 $39 +$4 +10%
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winner Jun 06 $32 +$7 +22%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 06 $30 +$1 +5%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 06 $21 +$10 +46%
LoL: Misa Esports vs PCIFIC - Game 2 Winner Jun 05 $18 +$3 +17%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Lynn Vision (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 05 $13 +$4 +34%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 99% −$1,746
crypto 1% −$69
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming 82¢ $21 10m
Game Handicap: BLG (-2.5) vs Team WE (+2.5) SELL Bilibili Gaming 68¢ $21 11m
Game Handicap: BLG (-2.5) vs Team WE (+2.5) BUY Bilibili Gaming 68¢ $21 25m
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner SELL Gen.G 82¢ $22 40m
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner BUY Gen.G 78¢ $21 1h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner SELL Gen.G 93¢ $20 1h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner BUY Gen.G 77¢ $17 2h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner SELL Gen.G 82¢ $10 2h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner BUY Gen.G 55¢ $3 2h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner BUY Gen.G 57¢ $4 2h
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox SELL Los Angeles Dodgers 16¢ $3 8h
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox BUY Los Angeles Dodgers 59¢ $11 10h
LoL: G2 NORD vs WLGaming Esports - Game 2 Winner BUY G2 NORD 83¢ $11 17h
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS - Game 2 Winner SELL Misa Esports 99¢ $11 17h
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS - Game 2 Winner BUY Misa Esports 70¢ $8 17h
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS - Game 1 Winner SELL Misa Esports 100¢ $8 17h
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS - Game 1 Winner BUY Misa Esports 78¢ $6 18h
Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5) SELL Natus Vincere 70¢ $6 18h
Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5) BUY Natus Vincere 71¢ $6 18h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag SELL Natus Vincere 71¢ $7 18h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Natus Vincere 72¢ $7 18h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL G2 43¢ $7 19h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 70¢ $11 19h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL G2 43¢ $11 19h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 70¢ $18 20h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI SELL Hanwha Life Esports 100¢ $19 20h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Hanwha Life Esports 75¢ $14 22h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner SELL Hanwha Life Esports 100¢ $14 22h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 51¢ $7 23h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner SELL FURIA 34¢ $7 23h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +47%
net ROI/market (all)-14.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 47 -7.1% -16.0% 53% 47% -19.7%
≤30d 110 -24.3% -31.5% 44% 37% -26.8%
≤90d 521 -11.5% -19.9% 53% 44% -13.9%
all 797 -5.4% -14.4% 58% 47% -13.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover16.7 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -14.4% 47% -13.2%
10% -22.6% 27% -21.5%
15% -30.1% 14% -29.1%
20% -36.9% 8% -36.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $20.64 · official $20.64 (match) · 2333 history records