Wallet analysis

2026-06-21T12:03:29+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
69 0x69b6…eb57 crypto 88 markets active 0h ago coverage 2d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (103 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 2d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$94 (-4%) realized −$94 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -9% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -30% what you keep after slip
Net edge-30%after slip
Net WR44%break-even
Win rate76%67W / 21L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$25per market
Trades / day102.9pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 2d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$131
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (103 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +44%
net ROI/market (all)-17.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 88 -9.3% -17.9% 76% 44% -14.9%
≤30d 88 -9.3% -17.9% 76% 44% -14.9%
≤90d 88 -9.3% -17.9% 76% 44% -14.9%
all 88 -9.3% -17.9% 76% 44% -14.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover102.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -17.9% 44% -14.9%
10% ← realistic here -25.8% 22% -23.1%
15% -32.9% 9% -30.5%
20% -39.5% 3% -37.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 6% · top 2 12% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -6% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
40% wins margin < slip thin win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -9% · $-wt -6% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -11% → late -7% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.8 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$4 vs −$19 · ×0.21 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.67 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

2d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$94
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)76%
Wins / losses67 / 21
Open positions0
Markets (closed)88 / 88
History coverage2d
Avg bet$25
Trades / day102.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 88 Trades
no open positions (7 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 21 $30 +$6 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 21 $61 +$11 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 21 $51 −$51 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 21 $61 +$4 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 21 $31 +$4 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 21 $60 +$4 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 21 $30 +$6 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 21 $60 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 20 $61 +$11 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 20 $61 +$15 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 20 $61 +$10 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 20 $40 +$6 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 20 $40 +$7 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 20 $40 +$2 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 20 $40 +$7 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 20 $40 +$3 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 20 $20 +$2 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 20 $30 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 20 $30 +$3 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 20 $30 +$2 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 20 $20 +$2 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 20 $10 +$3 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 20 $20 −$6 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 20 $22 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 20 $11 −$1 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 20 $20 +$3 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 20 $10 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 20 $10 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 20 $10 +$2 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 20 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 20 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 20 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 20 $31 −$31 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 20 $30 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 20 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 20 $20 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 20 $25 +$4 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 20 $30 +$2 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 20 $15 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 20 $31 +$2 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 20 $45 +$6 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 20 $23 +$3 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 20 $30 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 20 $45 +$7 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 20 $30 +$2 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 20 $26 +$10 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 20 $30 +$5 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 20 $30 −$24 -81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 20 $15 +$5 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 20 $15 +$3 +22%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $30 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $30 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $30 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $30 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET SELL Up 92¢ $65 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $30 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $30 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET SELL Up 85¢ $34 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $31 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET SELL Down 98¢ $64 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $30 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $30 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $30 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $30 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $30 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $20 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $20 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $20 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Down 81¢ $20 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Down 79¢ $20 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Down 77¢ $20 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $20 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $20 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $20 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $20 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $20 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Down 87¢ $20 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Down 83¢ $20 18h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 244 history records