Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T21:33:05+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

69
0x69ad…31e6
sports · 30 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$7,601 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$7,589 · open −$55
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$10
Realized−$7,589
Unrealized−$55
Win rate (resolved)59%
Wins / losses19 / 13
Whale WR (big bets)50%
Est. fees paid−$4,546
Open positions1
Markets (closed)32 / 30
History coverage18d
Avg bet$12,473
Trades / day190.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit77%
Chart Positions 1 History 32 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$4,042
7 days−$4,033
14 days−$3,994
30 days−$7,589
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: West Indies vs New Zealand West Indies 99¢ 100¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+1%)
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: West Indies vs New Zealand New Zealand 1¢ 0¢ $57 $2 −$55 (-96%)
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? No 96¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+4%)
Will England win? Yes 50¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+100%)
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T? Yes 87¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+15%)
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.8T? No 91¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+10%)
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? No 95¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+5%)
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T? No 87¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+15%)
Will the match end in a draw? No 56¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+79%)
Will New Zealand win? No 51¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+97%)
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: England vs Sri Lanka England 93¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+7%)
Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven Rico 17¢ 0¢ $8,099 $0 −$8,099 (-100%)
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? Yes 4¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Gujarat Titans Gujarat Titans 6¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Gujarat Titans Gujarat Titans 6¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T? No 7¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Will the match end in a draw? Yes 16¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will England win? No 68¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.6T? Yes 10¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Pakistan Super League: Peshawar Zalmi vs Hyderabad Kingsmen Hyderabad Kingsmen 20¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven Jun 13 $8,099 −$5,366 -66%
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Gujarat Titans Jun 13 $0 −$131 -291881%
Pakistan Super League: Peshawar Zalmi vs Hyderabad Kingsmen Jun 13 $0 −$17 -24762%
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Australia vs South Africa Jun 13 $16,809 +$127 +1%
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Scotland vs Ireland Jun 13 $9,086 +$154 +2%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? Jun 12 $57,530 +$1,046 +2%
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: England vs Sri Lanka Jun 12 $293 +$6 +2%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T? Jun 12 $3,768 +$53 +1%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T? Jun 12 $1,346 +$56 +4%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.6T? Jun 12 $247 −$69 -28%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.8T? Jun 12 $3,090 +$43 +1%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T? Jun 12 $7,431 +$30 +0%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $2,222 +$26 +1%
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $211 +$4 +2%
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia Jun 11 $2,077 +$4 +0%
UFC Fight Night: Song Yadong vs. Deiveson Figueiredo (Bantamweight, Ma Jun 04 $677 +$78 +11%
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? Jun 04 $17,253 −$425 -2%
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? Jun 04 $12,989 +$252 +2%
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? Jun 04 $16,783 +$700 +4%
Will England win? Jun 04 $2,584 −$17 -1%
Will New Zealand win? Jun 04 $5,193 −$684 -13%
Will the match end in a draw? Jun 04 $488 +$6 +1%
ODI Series West Indies vs Sri Lanka: West Indies vs Sri Lanka Jun 04 $18,277 −$518 -3%
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Gujarat Titans May 31 $38,648 +$823 +2%
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League? May 30 $12,909 −$176 -1%
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw? May 30 $3,013 +$91 +3%
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30? May 30 $707 −$3 -0%
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Rajasthan Royals May 29 $46,872 −$3,987 -8%
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic May 29 $2,112 −$12 -1%
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Rajasthan Royals May 29 $65,921 −$433 -1%
T20 Series England vs. India, Women: England vs India May 29 $152 +$6 +4%
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Gujarat Titans May 29 $23,889 +$744 +3%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 68% −$2,895
tech 20% +$1,159
other 8% +$32
crypto 5% −$425
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: West Indies vs New Zealand BUY West Indies 99¢ $2 46m
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: West Indies vs New Zealand SELL West Indies 99¢ $237 46m
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: West Indies vs New Zealand BUY New Zealand 1¢ $17 46m
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: West Indies vs New Zealand BUY West Indies 99¢ $237 49m
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: West Indies vs New Zealand SELL New Zealand 2¢ $5 51m
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: West Indies vs New Zealand BUY New Zealand 2¢ $47 52m
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: West Indies vs New Zealand SELL New Zealand 2¢ $12 53m
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: West Indies vs New Zealand SELL New Zealand 2¢ $3 54m
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: West Indies vs New Zealand SELL New Zealand 2¢ $2 54m
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: West Indies vs New Zealand SELL New Zealand 2¢ $0 54m
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: West Indies vs New Zealand SELL New Zealand 4¢ $1 54m
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: West Indies vs New Zealand SELL New Zealand 11¢ $36 55m
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: West Indies vs New Zealand BUY New Zealand 5¢ $13 56m
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: West Indies vs New Zealand BUY New Zealand 6¢ $60 56m
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: West Indies vs New Zealand SELL New Zealand 10¢ $52 56m
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: West Indies vs New Zealand SELL New Zealand 10¢ $208 56m
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: West Indies vs New Zealand BUY New Zealand 6¢ $56 58m
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: West Indies vs New Zealand BUY New Zealand 7¢ $84 59m
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: West Indies vs New Zealand BUY New Zealand 52¢ $23 1h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: West Indies vs New Zealand BUY New Zealand 52¢ $98 1h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: West Indies vs New Zealand BUY New Zealand 53¢ $32 1h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: West Indies vs New Zealand BUY New Zealand 53¢ $8 1h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: West Indies vs New Zealand BUY New Zealand 52¢ $120 1h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: West Indies vs New Zealand SELL New Zealand 53¢ $13 1h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: West Indies vs New Zealand SELL New Zealand 53¢ $896 1h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: West Indies vs New Zealand SELL New Zealand 53¢ $11 1h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: West Indies vs New Zealand SELL New Zealand 53¢ $31 1h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: West Indies vs New Zealand SELL New Zealand 53¢ $11 1h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: West Indies vs New Zealand SELL New Zealand 53¢ $51 1h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: West Indies vs New Zealand SELL New Zealand 68¢ $1 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +28%
net ROI/market (all)+341.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 15 +695.5% +619.7% 73% 40% -19.4%
≤30d 32 +388.2% +341.7% 59% 28% -12.5%
≤90d 32 +388.2% +341.7% 59% 28% -12.5%
all 32 +388.2% +341.7% 59% 28% -12.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover190.4 tr/day
realistic slip~18%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +341.7% 28% -12.5%
10% +299.5% 25% -20.8%
15% ← realistic here +260.9% 25% -28.5%
20% +225.5% 25% -35.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $9.81 · official $4.57 · 3500 history records