Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T17:22:57+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

69
0x69ab…0c52
crypto · 1658 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$376 -13%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$376 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$376
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)83%
Wins / losses1413 / 299
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1712 / 1658
History coverage10d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day229.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit92%
Chart Positions 0 History 1712 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$313
7 days−$376
14 days−$376
30 days−$376
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Down 92¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 6, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Up 97¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 1, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Down 76¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 3, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Up 97¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Down 98¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Down 92¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 5, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Down 96¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Up 94¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 6, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Up 93¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Down 70¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Up 88¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 5, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Down 94¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 11, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Up 91¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Up 95¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Up 93¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Down 95¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Down 91¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Up 81¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 5, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Up 94¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Down 95¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 5, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Down 96¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Down 68¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Down 89¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Up 88¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 13 $16 −$15 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 1, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 13 $43 −$43 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 2, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 1, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 3, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 28, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 3, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 1, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 31, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 3, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 31, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 13 $28 −$28 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 1, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 3, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 31, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 1, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 26, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 31, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 1, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $23 −$23 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 13 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 13 $12 −$12 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 27, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 13 $40 −$40 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 3, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 27, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 13 $28 −$28 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 2, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 92% −$75
other 8% −$4
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $1 4m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $1 19m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $1 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $5 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $5 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $1 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $1 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $1 39m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $1 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $1 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $5 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $5 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $1 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $1 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $1 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $1 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $1 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $1 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $1 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $1 59m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +14%
net ROI/market (all)-13.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1113 -7.5% -16.3% 76% 14% -24.6%
≤30d 1712 -4.4% -13.5% 83% 14% -20.3%
≤90d 1712 -4.4% -13.5% 83% 14% -20.3%
all 1712 -4.4% -13.5% 83% 14% -20.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover229.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -13.5% 14% -20.3%
10% ← realistic here -21.8% 2% -27.9%
15% -29.3% 1% -34.9%
20% -36.2% 0% -41.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records