Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T08:47:32+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

69
0x69a9…f73a
crypto · 8 markets active 2h ago
2.0score
−$42 -43%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$49 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY crypto specialist⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$49
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses4 / 4
Open positions0
Markets (closed)8 / 8
History coverage141d
Avg bet$12
Trades / day0.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit62%
Chart Positions 0 History 8 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$52
7 days−$52
14 days−$52
30 days−$52
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 59¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 82¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +28%
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $20 +$3 +17%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $20 −$20 -99%
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $30 −$30 -100%
AFC U23 Final: China vs. Japan Jan 24 $10 +$3 +30%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 72% −$47
crypto 18% −$5
sports 10% +$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 15¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET SELL Down 94¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $5 1h
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 85¢ $20 16h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 59¢ $20 16h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 82¢ $30 16h
AFC U23 Final: China vs. Japan SELL Japan 100¢ $13 140d
AFC U23 Final: China vs. Japan BUY Japan 77¢ $10 140d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +38%
net ROI/market (all)-45.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 7 -49.7% -54.5% 43% 29% -63.0%
≤30d 7 -49.7% -54.5% 43% 29% -63.0%
≤90d 7 -49.7% -54.5% 43% 29% -63.0%
all 8 -39.8% -45.5% 50% 38% -55.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.1 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -45.5% 38% -55.0%
10% -50.8% 25% -59.3%
15% -55.5% 0% -63.2%
20% -59.9% 0% -66.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 13 history records