Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T09:34:31+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

69
0x69a5…b4ec
crypto · 52 markets active 1h ago
4.0score
+$313 +5%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$315 · open −$2
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$43
Realized+$315
Unrealized−$2
Win rate (resolved)90%
Wins / losses44 / 5
Open positions3
Markets (closed)49 / 52
History coverage128d
Avg bet$122
Trades / day0.4
Drawdown8%
Kalshi-fit88%
Chart Positions 3 History 49 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$4
7 days−$4
14 days−$3
30 days−$27
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 13? Yes 100¢ 100¢ $30 $30 −$0 (-0%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $54,000 June 8-14? No 100¢ 100¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-0%)
Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $5 $3 −$2 (-42%)
HYPE Up or Down - May 25, 3AM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 13 $1,025 −$1 -0%
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me Jun 13 $2,488 −$3 -0%
Will the price of XRP be between $1.30 and $1.40 on June 12? Jun 12 $10 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 12? Jun 12 $30 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $56,000 and $58,000 on June 11? Jun 11 $30 $0 +0%
Will the price of XRP be between $0.90 and $1.00 on June 11? Jun 11 $10 $0 +0%
Will the price of XRP be between $1.30 and $1.40 on June 10? Jun 10 $10 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,400 on June 10? Jun 10 $30 $0 +0%
Will the price of Solana be between $40 and $50 on June 9? Jun 09 $10 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $58,000 on June 9? Jun 09 $30 $0 +0%
Will the price of XRP be between $1.30 and $1.40 on June 8? Jun 08 $10 $0 +0%
Will the price of XRP be above $1.00 on June 8? Jun 08 $30 $0 +0%
Will the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on June 5? Jun 05 $10 $0 +0%
Will the price of XRP be above $1.00 on June 5? Jun 05 $30 $0 +0%
Will Solana dip to $60 on June 4? Jun 05 $10 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 4? Jun 04 $30 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on June 3? Jun 03 $30 $0 +0%
Will the price of XRP be between $1.00 and $1.10 on June 3? Jun 03 $11 $0 +0%
Will the price of XRP be between $1.40 and $1.50 on June 2? Jun 02 $11 $0 +0%
Will the price of XRP be above $1.20 on June 2? Jun 02 $30 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 1? Jun 02 $11 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on June 1? Jun 02 $30 $0 +0%
Will Solana reach $105 on May 30? Jun 01 $10 $0 +0%
Will the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on May 30? Jun 01 $30 $0 +0%
Will Solana dip to $60 on May 29? May 30 $10 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on May 29? May 30 $30 $0 +0%
Will the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on May 26? May 30 $10 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on May 28? May 29 $10 $0 +0%
Will the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on May 28? May 29 $30 $0 +0%
Will the price of Solana be above $70 on May 27? May 28 $10 $0 +0%
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 25 to May 27, 2026? May 28 $30 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 26? May 27 $30 $0 +0%
Will the price of Solana be above $80 on May 25? May 26 $10 $0 +0%
HYPE Up or Down - May 25, 3AM ET May 25 $25 −$24 -97%
Will Bitcoin reach $81,000 on May 22? May 25 $10 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on May 23? May 25 $10 $0 +0%
Will the price of XRP be above $1.30 on May 23? May 25 $30 $0 +0%
Will the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on May 22? May 23 $30 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 21? May 22 $30 $0 +0%
Will the price of XRP be between $1.50 and $1.60 on May 21? May 22 $10 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 20? May 21 $10 $0 +0%
Will the price of Solana be above $90 on May 20? May 21 $30 $0 +0%
Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on May 19? May 20 $11 $0 +0%
Will XRP reach $1.60 on May 19? May 20 $30 $0 +0%
Will the price of XRP be above $1.50 on May 18? May 19 $10 $0 +0%
Will the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on May 18? May 19 $30 $0 +0%
NYA (NYA) Up or Down on March 11? Mar 12 $342 +$342 +100%
International T20 Series: Australia vs Netherlands (Game 1) Mar 11 $1 −$1 -49%
Will Gracie Abrams perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show? Feb 05 $1,552 $0 -0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 47% +$315
economics 39% −$3
crypto 14% +$1
sports 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 13? BUY Yes 100¢ $30 1h
Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 100¢ $1,024 1h
Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 100¢ $1,025 1h
Will Bitcoin dip to $54,000 June 8-14? BUY No 100¢ $10 1h
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me SELL No 100¢ $2,485 1h
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me BUY No 100¢ $2,488 1h
Will the price of XRP be between $1.30 and $1.40 on June 12? BUY No 100¢ $10 28h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 12? BUY Yes 100¢ $30 28h
Will the price of XRP be between $0.90 and $1.00 on June 11? BUY No 100¢ $10 2d
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $56,000 and $58,000 on June 11? BUY No 100¢ $30 2d
Will the price of XRP be between $1.30 and $1.40 on June 10? BUY No 100¢ $10 3d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,400 on June 10? BUY Yes 100¢ $30 3d
Will the price of Solana be between $40 and $50 on June 9? BUY No 100¢ $10 4d
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $58,000 on June 9? BUY No 100¢ $30 4d
Will the price of XRP be between $1.30 and $1.40 on June 8? BUY No 100¢ $10 5d
Will the price of XRP be above $1.00 on June 8? BUY Yes 100¢ $30 5d
Will the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on June 5? BUY No 100¢ $10 8d
Will the price of XRP be above $1.00 on June 5? BUY Yes 100¢ $30 8d
Will Solana dip to $60 on June 4? BUY No 100¢ $10 9d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 4? BUY No 100¢ $30 9d
Will the price of XRP be between $1.00 and $1.10 on June 3? BUY No 100¢ $11 10d
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on June 3? BUY No 100¢ $30 10d
Will the price of XRP be between $1.40 and $1.50 on June 2? BUY No 100¢ $11 11d
Will the price of XRP be above $1.20 on June 2? BUY Yes 100¢ $30 11d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 1? BUY Yes 100¢ $11 12d
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on June 1? BUY No 100¢ $30 12d
Will Solana reach $105 on May 30? BUY No 100¢ $10 14d
Will the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on May 30? BUY No 100¢ $30 14d
Will Solana dip to $60 on May 29? BUY No 100¢ $10 15d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on May 29? BUY Yes 100¢ $30 15d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +2%
net ROI/market (all)-10.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 12 +0.1% -9.4% 83% 0% -9.6%
≤30d 46 -2.0% -11.3% 93% 0% -10.1%
≤90d 46 -2.0% -11.3% 93% 0% -10.1%
all 49 -0.8% -10.3% 90% 2% -5.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.4 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -10.3% 2% -5.0%
10% -18.9% 2% -14.1%
15% -26.7% 2% -22.4%
20% -33.9% 2% -30.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $42.83 · official $42.83 (match) · 100 history records