Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T17:17:14+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

69
0x699c…4b61
crypto · 57 markets active 1h ago
2.5score
+$417 +15%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$417 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY crypto specialistFresh edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$10
Realized+$417
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)61%
Wins / losses34 / 22
Open positions1
Markets (closed)56 / 57
History coverage460d
Avg bet$48
Trades / day0.9
Drawdown35%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 1 History 56 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days$0
14 days$0
30 days−$3
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 59¢ 58¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-1%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 3? May 29 $7 −$4 -62%
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May? May 21 $129 +$1 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 3? May 03 $5 $0 +9%
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April? Apr 30 $101 +$4 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Apr 04 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Mar 30 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Mar 29 $13 −$3 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Mar 28 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Mar 28 $10 −$10 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C or higher on March 28 Mar 28 $2 +$16 +802%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C or higher on March 28? Mar 28 $3 −$1 -28%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on March 28? Mar 28 $2 +$12 +463%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Mar 27 $10 +$1 +8%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on March 27? Mar 27 $1 +$39 +5559%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Mar 25 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Mar 25 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Mar 25 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Mar 25 $30 −$5 -17%
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in March? Mar 25 $94 +$5 +6%
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in March? Mar 25 $93 +$7 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Mar 25 $4 +$96 +2400%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Mar 25 $10 +$3 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Mar 24 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Mar 24 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Mar 24 $14 −$4 -29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Mar 24 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Mar 24 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Mar 24 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Mar 24 $10 −$10 -100%
Will Bitcoin reach $90k in April? Mar 24 $103 −$103 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Mar 24 $30 $0 -0%
Will Bitcoin reach $125K in July? Mar 24 $72 +$8 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Mar 24 $13 +$3 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Mar 24 $2 $0 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Mar 24 $10 +$22 +216%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Mar 23 $10 +$5 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Mar 23 $10 +$2 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Mar 19 $10 +$9 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Mar 18 $10 +$10 +103%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Mar 18 $9 +$19 +222%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Mar 18 $10 +$14 +140%
Will Ethereum reach $3,400 in February? Mar 01 $99 +$1 +1%
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January? Jan 25 $97 $0 +0%
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in January? Jan 19 $97 $0 +0%
Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in January? Jan 14 $194 +$1 +0%
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in January? Jan 08 $35 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Dec 31 $2 +$1 +50%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on December 30? Dec 30 $20 +$1 +3%
Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in November? Nov 21 $177 +$125 +71%
Will Bitcoin reach $130k in October? Oct 30 $316 +$28 +9%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 99% +$351
other 0% $0
weather 0% +$66
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 59¢ $10 1h
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May? SELL No 98¢ $131 23d
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May? BUY No 96¢ $129 25d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 3? SELL Yes 1¢ $0 41d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 3? SELL Yes 1¢ $6 41d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 3? SELL Yes 1¢ $0 41d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 3? SELL Yes 1¢ $0 41d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 3? SELL Yes 1¢ $0 41d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 3? SELL Yes 1¢ $2 41d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 3? BUY Yes 1¢ $0 41d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 3? BUY Yes 1¢ $0 41d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 3? BUY Yes 1¢ $0 41d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 3? BUY Yes 1¢ $1 41d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 3? BUY Yes 1¢ $0 41d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 3? BUY Yes 1¢ $0 41d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 3? BUY Yes 1¢ $0 41d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 3? BUY Yes 1¢ $0 41d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 3? BUY Yes 1¢ $0 41d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 3? BUY Yes 1¢ $0 41d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 3? BUY Yes 1¢ $0 41d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 3? BUY Yes 1¢ $0 41d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 3? BUY Yes 1¢ $0 41d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 3? BUY Yes 1¢ $0 41d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 3? BUY Yes 1¢ $0 41d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 3? BUY Yes 1¢ $0 41d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 3? BUY Yes 1¢ $0 41d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 3? BUY Yes 1¢ $0 41d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 3? BUY Yes 1¢ $0 41d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 3? BUY Yes 1¢ $0 41d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 3? BUY Yes 1¢ $0 41d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +34%
net ROI/market (all)+71.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d no closed markets
≤30d 2 -30.4% -37.0% 50% 0% -11.5%
≤90d 41 +114.0% +93.6% 51% 37% -7.5%
all 56 +89.7% +71.6% 61% 34% +3.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.9 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +71.6% 34% +3.0%
10% +55.2% 30% -6.8%
15% +40.2% 23% -15.8%
20% +26.4% 20% -24.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $9.92 · official $9.92 (match) · 438 history records