Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:57:56+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

69
0x6996…1d0d
crypto · 669 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$6,788 -22%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$6,788 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Net worth$0
Realized−$6,788
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)27%
Wins / losses288 / 792
Whale WR (big bets)50%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1080 / 669
History coverage32d
Avg bet$47
Trades / day97.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1080 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$5,102
7 days−$5,382
14 days−$5,382
30 days−$5,382
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Solana Up or Down - May 1, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Up 52¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Up 53¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Down 50¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Up 50¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 23, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Down 52¢ $29 $0 −$29 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Up 48¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Down 53¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Up 52¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Up 57¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 23, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Up 53¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - April 23, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Up 50¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - April 23, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Down 52¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Up 54¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 8, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Down 55¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - April 23, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Up 48¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Up 46¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Up 54¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 23, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Up 52¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 23, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Down 55¢ $29 $0 −$29 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Up 43¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - April 23, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Down 49¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 25, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Up 53¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Up 48¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - April 23, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Up 50¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 8, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Up 54¢ $120 $0 −$120 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - May 1, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 12 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 23, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 12 $29 −$29 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 12 $14 −$14 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 23, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 23, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 23, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 8, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 23, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 23, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 23, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 12 $29 −$29 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 23, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 25, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 23, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 8, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $120 −$120 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 23, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 25, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 25, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 25, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 23, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 23, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 24, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 24, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 23, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$1,364
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $5 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET SELL Down 63¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET SELL Down 59¢ $12 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $10 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $3 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $6 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $9 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $6 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $4 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $4 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $9 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +20%
net ROI/market (all)-42.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 886 -42.7% -48.2% 21% 14% -41.0%
≤30d 886 -42.7% -48.2% 21% 14% -41.0%
≤90d 1080 -36.5% -42.5% 27% 20% -26.5%
all 1080 -36.5% -42.5% 27% 20% -26.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover97.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -42.5% 20% -26.5%
10% ← realistic here -48.0% 18% -33.6%
15% -53.0% 16% -40.0%
20% -57.7% 14% -45.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records