Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T06:06:48+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

69
0x6993…6f0b
crypto · 1225 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$247 -7%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$166 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$166
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)51%
Wins / losses624 / 601
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1225 / 1225
History coverage104d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day20.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit97%
Chart Positions 0 History 1225 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$11
7 days+$11
14 days+$11
30 days+$11
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $7 +$4 +51%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $7 +$7 +102%
Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026? Jun 13 $2 $0 -3%
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2026? Jun 13 $2 $0 +0%
Counter-Strike: BESTIA Academy vs HereWeGoAgain (BO3) - ESL Challenger Jun 13 $3 $0 -9%
Counter-Strike: Fake do Biru vs HereWeGoAgain (BO3) - ESL Challenger L Apr 02 $2 $0 +0%
Valorant: T1 Academy vs Gen.G Global Academy (BO3) - VCL Korea: Playof Apr 02 $2 +$1 +35%
LoL: Apex Mission Impossible vs CCG Esports - Game 2 Winner Apr 02 $2 −$2 -100%
Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs HOTU - Map 2 Winner Apr 01 $2 $0 +18%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Mar 31 $4 $0 +2%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Sashi Esport - Map 2 Winner Mar 31 $5 $0 +1%
LoL: Team WE vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 1 Winner Mar 29 $5 −$5 -100%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 Mar 29 $5 −$5 -95%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 Mar 29 $5 −$3 -57%
LoL: Team WE vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qua Mar 29 $5 −$1 -22%
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on March 24? Mar 25 $4 −$4 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on March 24? Mar 25 $2 −$2 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on March 24? Mar 25 $1 +$2 +194%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 48-49°F on Ma Mar 25 $2 +$4 +233%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on Ma Mar 25 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 66-67°F on March 24 Mar 24 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on March 24? Mar 24 $2 −$2 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 64-65°F on March 24 Mar 24 $2 −$2 -100%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 42-43°F on Ma Mar 24 $2 −$2 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on March 22? Mar 23 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on March 22 Mar 23 $5 −$4 -80%
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on March 22 Mar 23 $3 −$1 -40%
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on March 22 Mar 23 $1 +$3 +256%
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 52-53°F on March 22 Mar 23 $3 +$2 +53%
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on March 22? Mar 23 $4 +$3 +83%
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on March 22? Mar 22 $2 −$1 -48%
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on March 22? Mar 22 $2 +$1 +58%
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 48-49°F on March 22 Mar 22 $6 $0 +2%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Playoffs Mar 22 $5 +$2 +37%
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on March 22? Mar 22 $1 $0 -31%
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on March 21? Mar 22 $2 −$2 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on March 21? Mar 22 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 63°F or below on March 22? Mar 22 $10 −$3 -28%
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on March 21? Mar 22 $3 −$3 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on March 21 Mar 22 $2 −$2 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 64-65°F on March 22 Mar 22 $9 −$2 -24%
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on March 22 Mar 22 $1 +$4 +328%
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on March 22 Mar 22 $1 $0 -40%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 13°C on March 21? Mar 22 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 48-49°F on March 21 Mar 22 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on March 21 Mar 22 $1 +$2 +144%
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on March 21 Mar 22 $2 +$3 +135%
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on March 21? Mar 22 $3 +$3 +131%
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on March 21 Mar 21 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 54-55°F on Ma Mar 21 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 60% +$4
sports 19% −$59
weather 16% −$115
other 4% +$8
politics 0% −$4
world 0% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 100¢ $11 1h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 64¢ $7 14h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 99¢ $15 28h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 47¢ $7 29h
Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026? SELL No 83¢ $2 29h
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2026? SELL No 93¢ $2 29h
Counter-Strike: BESTIA Academy vs HereWeGoAgain (BO3) - ESL Challenger BUY HereWeGoAgain 66¢ $1 71d
Counter-Strike: BESTIA Academy vs HereWeGoAgain (BO3) - ESL Challenger BUY HereWeGoAgain 50¢ $2 71d
Counter-Strike: Fake do Biru vs HereWeGoAgain (BO3) - ESL Challenger L SELL HereWeGoAgain 50¢ $2 72d
Counter-Strike: Fake do Biru vs HereWeGoAgain (BO3) - ESL Challenger L BUY HereWeGoAgain 49¢ $2 72d
Valorant: T1 Academy vs Gen.G Global Academy (BO3) - VCL Korea: Playof SELL Gen.G Global Academy 99¢ $1 72d
Valorant: T1 Academy vs Gen.G Global Academy (BO3) - VCL Korea: Playof SELL Gen.G Global Academy 99¢ $1 72d
Valorant: T1 Academy vs Gen.G Global Academy (BO3) - VCL Korea: Playof SELL Gen.G Global Academy 99¢ $0 72d
Valorant: T1 Academy vs Gen.G Global Academy (BO3) - VCL Korea: Playof SELL Gen.G Global Academy 93¢ $0 72d
Valorant: T1 Academy vs Gen.G Global Academy (BO3) - VCL Korea: Playof BUY Gen.G Global Academy 73¢ $2 72d
LoL: Apex Mission Impossible vs CCG Esports - Game 2 Winner BUY Apex Mission Impossible 33¢ $2 73d
Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs HOTU - Map 2 Winner BUY HOTU 84¢ $2 73d
Games Total: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 98¢ $4 74d
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Sashi Esport - Map 2 Winner SELL Aurora Gaming 100¢ $5 74d
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Sashi Esport - Map 2 Winner BUY Aurora Gaming 99¢ $5 74d
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 SELL KT Rolster 5¢ $0 76d
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 BUY KT Rolster 99¢ $5 76d
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 SELL HANJIN BRION 9¢ $2 76d
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 BUY HANJIN BRION 21¢ $5 76d
LoL: Team WE vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qua SELL ThunderTalk Gaming 33¢ $4 76d
LoL: Team WE vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qua BUY ThunderTalk Gaming 42¢ $5 76d
LoL: Team WE vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 1 Winner BUY ThunderTalk Gaming 42¢ $5 76d
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on March 24? BUY Yes 3¢ $1 81d
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on March 24? BUY Yes 14¢ $1 81d
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 48-49°F on Ma BUY Yes 30¢ $2 81d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +48%
net ROI/market (all)-13.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 5 +28.4% +16.2% 60% 40% +35.9%
≤30d 5 +28.4% +16.2% 60% 40% +35.9%
≤90d 152 -20.6% -28.2% 37% 28% -22.9%
all 1225 -3.9% -13.1% 51% 48% -13.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover20.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -13.1% 48% -13.9%
10% ← realistic here -21.4% 45% -22.1%
15% -29.0% 43% -29.6%
20% -35.9% 39% -36.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records