Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T08:59:16+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
69 0x698b…8a84 crypto 1213 markets active 7d ago coverage 37d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 37d only
✗ bot/MM pace (80 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$42 (-0%) realized −$42 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -12% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -32% what you keep after slip
Net edge-32%after slip
Net WR40%break-even
Win rate46%575W / 682L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$7per market
Trades / day80.2pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$549
7 days−$533
14 days−$655
30 days−$953
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$727
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (80 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +40%
net ROI/market (all)-20.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 80 -82.5% -84.2% 8% 6% -86.4%
≤30d 770 -11.0% -19.5% 48% 43% -26.5%
≤90d 1257 -11.8% -20.2% 46% 40% -23.5%
all 1257 -11.8% -20.2% 46% 40% -23.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover80.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -20.2% 40% -23.5%
10% ← realistic here -27.9% 34% -30.9%
15% -34.8% 29% -37.5%
20% -41.2% 22% -43.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 6% · top 2 10% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -16% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
12% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -12% · $-wt -16% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -10% → late -14% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.7 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$3 vs −$5 · ×0.66 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.59 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

37d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$42
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)46%
Wins / losses575 / 682
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1257 / 1213
History coverage37d ⚠
Avg bet$7
Trades / day80.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1257 Trades
no open positions (500 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 17 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 17 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 17 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 17 $35 −$35 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 17 $24 −$24 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 17 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 17 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 17 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 17 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 17 $18 −$18 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 17 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 17 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 17 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 17 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 17 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 17 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 17 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 17 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 17 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 17 $29 −$29 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 17 $34 −$34 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 17 $22 −$22 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 17 $10 −$10 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET SELL Up 22¢ $17 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Up 17¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Up 17¢ $3 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Up 17¢ $11 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET SELL Down 44¢ $34 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 31¢ $26 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 18¢ $8 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET SELL Down 18¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Down 19¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET SELL Down 34¢ $8 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Down 31¢ $8 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET SELL Down 8¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Down 7¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET SELL Up 0¢ $0 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 15¢ $3 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Up 23¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET SELL Down 16¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Down 23¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET SELL Up 79¢ $13 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 18¢ $3 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET SELL Down 7¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Down 11¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET SELL Down 41¢ $4 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Down 27¢ $3 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Up 7¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET SELL Up 14¢ $0 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET SELL Up 24¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Up 22¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET SELL Down 20¢ $2 6d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records