Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T15:55:11+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

69
0x698a…0dec
crypto · 685 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$102 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$185 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$185
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses341 / 344
Open positions0
Markets (closed)685 / 685
History coverage40d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day47.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 685 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2
7 days−$6
14 days−$33
30 days−$67
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Up 79¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Down 67¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Up 68¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Down 66¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Down 21¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Up 70¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Down 21¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Down 78¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Down 71¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Up 64¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Down 73¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Up 64¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 14 $3 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 14 $3 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$1 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$1 -42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$1 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$1 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 -29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 07 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 07 $4 −$2 -57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 07 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 07 $4 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 07 $2 +$1 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 07 $2 +$1 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 07 $4 $0 +12%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 99% −$184
weather 1% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET SELL Up 89¢ $2 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $1 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET SELL Up 87¢ $2 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $1 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $2 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET SELL Up 86¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET SELL Up 69¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET SELL Down 68¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET SELL Down 75¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $3 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET SELL Up 78¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $3 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET SELL Up 71¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET SELL Down 70¢ $2 6h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +27%
net ROI/market (all)-14.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 47 -8.9% -17.5% 57% 49% -15.5%
≤30d 436 -6.7% -15.6% 54% 34% -13.5%
≤90d 685 -6.0% -14.9% 50% 27% -15.3%
all 685 -6.0% -14.9% 50% 27% -15.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover47.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.9% 27% -15.3%
10% ← realistic here -23.1% 14% -23.4%
15% -30.5% 9% -30.8%
20% -37.3% 5% -37.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2196 history records