trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $10 | $0 | -4% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET | Jun 14 | $1 | −$1 | -96% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET | Jun 14 | $1 | −$1 | -96% |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $10 | −$10 | -99% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 14 | $10 | −$10 | -99% |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 14 | $9 | −$9 | -98% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? | Jun 13 | $5 | +$2 | +37% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET | Jun 13 | $1 | −$1 | -94% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET | Jun 13 | $2 | −$2 | -96% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET | Jun 13 | $1 | +$2 | +152% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET | Jun 13 | $1 | −$1 | -94% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET | Jun 13 | $2 | +$6 | +298% |
| Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $2 | −$2 | -97% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET | Jun 13 | $1 | +$2 | +152% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET | Jun 13 | $1 | −$1 | -94% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET | Jun 13 | $1 | −$1 | -96% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET | Jun 13 | $1 | −$1 | -95% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET | Jun 13 | $1 | −$1 | -94% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET | Jun 13 | $1 | −$1 | -94% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET | Jun 13 | $2 | −$2 | -94% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET | Jun 13 | $1 | −$1 | -94% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET | Jun 13 | $1 | +$13 | +1226% |
| Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $10 | +$11 | +109% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 25 | +6.8% | -3.4% | 24% | 24% | -34.5% |
| ≤30d | 25 | +6.8% | -3.4% | 24% | 24% | -34.5% |
| ≤90d | 25 | +6.8% | -3.4% | 24% | 24% | -34.5% |
| all | 25 | +6.8% | -3.4% | 24% | 24% | -34.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -3.4% | 24% | -34.5% |
| 10% | -12.6% | 24% | -40.7% |
| 15% | -21.1% | 24% | -46.5% |
| 20% | -28.8% | 20% | -51.7% |