trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 22 | +20.1% | +8.7% | 77% | 77% | +13.6% |
| ≤30d | 26 | +21.7% | +10.1% | 77% | 77% | +16.0% |
| ≤90d | 37 | +6.0% | -4.1% | 70% | 68% | +15.0% |
| all | 37 | +6.0% | -4.1% | 70% | 68% | +15.0% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -4.1% | 68% | +15.0% |
| 10% | -13.2% | 68% | +4.0% |
| 15% | -21.6% | 54% | -6.0% |
| 20% | -29.3% | 30% | -15.3% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Netherlands (-1.5) | Netherlands | 76¢ | 74¢ | $912 | $882 | −$30 (-3%) |
| Spread: Côte d'Ivoire (-1.5) | Côte dIvoire | 65¢ | 66¢ | $552 | $557 | +$4 (+1%) |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? | Yes | 63¢ | 61¢ | $517 | $501 | −$16 (-3%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24? | Jun 25 | $733 | +$237 | +32% |
| Spread: Morocco (-1.5) | Jun 25 | $437 | +$238 | +55% |
| Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-24? | Jun 24 | $628 | +$237 | +38% |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24? | Jun 24 | $401 | −$397 | -99% |
| Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23? | Jun 24 | $628 | +$342 | +55% |
| Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23? | Jun 24 | $717 | +$343 | +48% |
| Spread: Portugal (-1.5) | Jun 23 | $748 | +$352 | +47% |
| Spread: England (-1.5) | Jun 23 | $605 | −$598 | -99% |
| Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22? | Jun 23 | $789 | +$431 | +55% |
| Spread: France (-2.5) | Jun 23 | $537 | +$439 | +82% |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22? | Jun 22 | $898 | +$442 | +49% |
| Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 22 | $332 | +$198 | +60% |
| Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 21 | $453 | −$448 | -99% |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 21 | $473 | −$469 | -99% |
| Spread: Spain (-1.5) | Jun 21 | $570 | +$200 | +35% |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 21 | $1,411 | +$664 | +47% |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 20 | $850 | +$388 | +46% |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 20 | $545 | +$395 | +72% |
| Spread: Ecuador (-1.5) | Jun 20 | $804 | −$804 | -100% |
| Spread: Brazil (-2.5) | Jun 20 | $594 | +$526 | +89% |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 20 | $769 | +$519 | +67% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 19 | $792 | +$528 | +67% |
| Spread: Norway (-1.5) | Jun 17 | $657 | +$443 | +67% |
| Will France win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 16 | $904 | +$446 | +49% |
| Spread: Germany (-3.5) | Jun 14 | $735 | +$765 | +104% |
| Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) | Jun 13 | $480 | −$480 | -100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 17? | May 20 | $24 | +$6 | +25% |
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on May 17? | May 18 | $21 | +$9 | +43% |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on May 17? | May 18 | $40 | +$10 | +25% |
| Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-17? | May 18 | $36 | +$14 | +37% |
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19? | May 18 | $56 | −$56 | -100% |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-17? | May 17 | $30 | −$30 | -100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on May 17? | May 16 | $26 | −$26 | -100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on May 17? | May 16 | $32 | −$32 | -100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C or below on May 14? | May 15 | $19 | +$1 | +7% |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on May 14? | May 15 | $16 | +$4 | +24% |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on May 14? | May 14 | $13 | −$13 | -100% |