Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T22:33:54+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

69
0x697e…e944
sports · 680 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$114 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$115 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$20
Realized−$115
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)62%
Wins / losses419 / 260
Est. fees paid−$19
Open positions1
Markets (closed)679 / 680
History coverage302d
Avg bet$11
Trades / day4.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit73%
Chart Positions 1 History 679 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$50
7 days+$50
14 days+$18
30 days−$259
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Yes 46¢ 46¢ $20 $20 +$0 (+1%)
OGC Nice vs. FC Metz: O/U 2.5 Over 61¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-05-31? No 55¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will Canada vs. Uzbekistan end in a draw? Yes 24¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Canadiens vs. Sabres Sabres 52¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Will Poland vs. Ukraine end in a draw? Yes 31¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will Albania vs. Israel end in a draw? Yes 29¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
SC Freiburg vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Score Yes 47¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Will Spain win on 2026-06-04? Yes 93¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Will Poland win on 2026-06-03? Yes 46¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will Croatia vs. Belgium end in a draw? Yes 28¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Canada win on 2026-06-01? No 39¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will Andorra vs. Liechtenstein end in a draw? Yes 26¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs Team Falcons 7¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Cambodia vs. Bhutan end in a draw? Yes 13¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Golden Knights vs. Avalanche Avalanche 61¢ 0¢ $27 $0 −$27 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? Jun 12 $20 +$25 +122%
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Jun 12 $10 +$4 +43%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $50 +$21 +42%
Will France win on 2026-06-04? Jun 04 $5 −$5 -99%
Will Spain win on 2026-06-04? Jun 04 $19 −$19 -100%
Will Andorra vs. Liechtenstein end in a draw? Jun 04 $5 $0 -0%
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-04? Jun 04 $5 +$3 +51%
Will Northern Ireland vs. Guinea end in a draw? Jun 04 $3 −$2 -69%
Will Cambodia vs. Bhutan end in a draw? Jun 03 $1 −$1 -97%
Will Poland vs. Nigeria end in a draw? Jun 03 $2 +$5 +246%
Will Albania win on 2026-06-03? Jun 03 $5 −$2 -42%
Will Albania vs. Israel end in a draw? Jun 03 $5 $0 +0%
Will Poland win on 2026-06-03? Jun 03 $5 −$5 -98%
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes Jun 03 $5 +$3 +56%
Will Haiti vs. New Zealand end in a draw? Jun 03 $5 −$4 -82%
Will Wales vs. Ghana end in a draw? Jun 02 $5 $0 +3%
Will Georgia vs. Romania end in a draw? Jun 02 $10 +$5 +46%
Will Croatia vs. Belgium end in a draw? Jun 02 $10 −$4 -42%
Canada vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 3.5 Jun 02 $10 +$3 +30%
Will Canada vs. Uzbekistan end in a draw? Jun 02 $10 $0 +0%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-01? Jun 01 $5 −$5 -98%
Will Poland vs. Ukraine end in a draw? May 31 $10 −$10 -98%
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-05-31? May 31 $5 −$5 -99%
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw? May 30 $10 +$7 +67%
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30? May 30 $10 +$5 +49%
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs May 21 $2 −$2 -97%
Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be b May 21 $5 −$3 -57%
Golden Knights vs. Avalanche May 20 $28 −$27 -99%
Will Palermo FC vs. US Catanzaro 1929 end in a draw? May 20 $5 +$1 +27%
Hamburg European Open: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Frances Tiafoe May 20 $10 +$4 +43%
SC Freiburg vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Score May 20 $20 −$20 -98%
Will Chelsea FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC end in a draw? May 19 $1 +$3 +331%
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-19? May 19 $20 −$6 -28%
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19? May 19 $30 +$17 +57%
Canadiens vs. Sabres May 19 $61 −$50 -82%
Will Arsenal FC vs. Burnley FC end in a draw? May 18 $1 $0 -37%
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-18? May 18 $45 +$2 +4%
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-09? May 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-05-07? May 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06? May 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Eintracht Frankfurt end in a draw? May 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-05-08? May 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Australia win Eurovision 2026? May 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Will 1. FC Köln win on 2026-05-16? May 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-05-16? May 17 $10 −$10 -100%
Nottingham Forest FC vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Score May 17 $10 −$10 -100%
Lightning vs. Canadiens May 17 $10 −$10 -100%
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-05-17? May 17 $20 −$20 -100%
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-05-16? May 17 $20 −$20 -100%
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-03? May 17 $20 −$20 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 63% +$165
other 36% −$307
world 1% +$30
culture 0% −$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 46¢ $20 1h
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? SELL Yes 95¢ $8 1h
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? SELL Yes 60¢ $5 1h
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? SELL Yes 60¢ $32 1h
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? BUY Yes 28¢ $20 6h
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? SELL Yes 48¢ $5 19h
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? SELL Yes 47¢ $10 19h
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? BUY Yes 32¢ $10 23h
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 99¢ $72 25h
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 69¢ $50 27h
Will France win on 2026-06-04? SELL Yes 1¢ $0 8d
Will Spain win on 2026-06-04? BUY Yes 93¢ $19 8d
Will France win on 2026-06-04? BUY Yes 82¢ $5 8d
Will Andorra vs. Liechtenstein end in a draw? SELL Yes 40¢ $5 8d
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-04? SELL No 83¢ $8 8d
Will Northern Ireland vs. Guinea end in a draw? SELL Yes 10¢ $1 8d
Will Northern Ireland vs. Guinea end in a draw? BUY Yes 30¢ $3 8d
Will Cambodia vs. Bhutan end in a draw? BUY Yes 13¢ $1 8d
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-04? BUY No 54¢ $5 8d
Will Andorra vs. Liechtenstein end in a draw? BUY Yes 26¢ $5 8d
Will Poland vs. Nigeria end in a draw? SELL Yes 99¢ $7 9d
Will Albania win on 2026-06-03? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 9d
Will Albania win on 2026-06-03? SELL Yes 33¢ $3 9d
Will Albania vs. Israel end in a draw? SELL Yes 41¢ $5 9d
Will Poland vs. Nigeria end in a draw? BUY Yes 28¢ $2 9d
Will Poland win on 2026-06-03? BUY Yes 46¢ $5 9d
Will Albania win on 2026-06-03? BUY Yes 41¢ $5 9d
Will Albania vs. Israel end in a draw? BUY Yes 29¢ $5 9d
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes SELL Golden Knights 72¢ $8 9d
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes BUY Golden Knights 45¢ $5 9d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +54%
net ROI/market (all)-10.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 3 +68.9% +52.8% 100% 100% +46.8%
≤30d 75 -33.5% -39.8% 36% 29% -32.6%
≤90d 302 -36.6% -42.6% 35% 32% -24.2%
all 679 -0.7% -10.1% 62% 54% -10.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover4.7 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -10.1% 54% -10.9%
10% -18.7% 42% -19.4%
15% -26.6% 30% -27.2%
20% -33.8% 20% -34.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $20.22 · official $20.22 (match) · 1605 history records