Wallet analysis

2026-06-22T23:35:55+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
69 0x6972…68e9 crypto 91 markets active 0h ago coverage 25d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage! high turnover
Total PnL +$17 (+3%) realized +$17 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -7% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -22% what you keep after slip
Net edge-22%after slip
Net WR25%break-even
Win rate56%51W / 40L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$7per market
Trades / day9.0pace
Fees−$0est.
Kalshi-fit97%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$0
7 days−$27
14 days−$25
30 days−$8
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 87% −$3
world 6% +$9
other 5% +$4
sports 3% −$17
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +25%
net ROI/market (all)-16.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 70 -15.7% -23.8% 61% 21% -14.2%
≤30d 91 -7.2% -16.0% 56% 25% -10.6%
≤90d 91 -7.2% -16.0% 56% 25% -10.6%
all 91 -7.2% -16.0% 56% 25% -10.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover9.0 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -16.0% 25% -10.6%
10% -24.0% 18% -19.2%
15% -31.4% 12% -27.0%
20% -38.1% 10% -34.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 25% · top 2 40% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
55% wins margin < slip thin win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -7% · $-wt -1% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -4% → late -10% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.6 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$2 vs −$3 · ×0.73 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.94 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

25d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$17
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)56%
Wins / losses51 / 40
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)91 / 91
History coverage25d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day9.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit97%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 91 Trades
no open positions (2 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 22 $1 −$1 -51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 22 $20 +$6 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 22 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 22 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 22 $5 −$3 -49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 22 $1 −$1 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 22 $2 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 22 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 22 $11 −$2 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 22 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 22 $35 +$2 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 22 $25 +$4 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 22 $25 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 22 $1 $0 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 22 $4 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 22 $46 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 22 $5 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 22 $7 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 22 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 22 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 22 $2 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 22 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 22 $6 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 22 $25 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 22 $6 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 22 $2 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 22 $1 $0 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 22 $5 −$2 -37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 22 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 22 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 22 $1 $0 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 22 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 22 $2 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 22 $2 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 22 $1 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 22 $1 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 22 $1 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 22 $1 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 22 $1 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 22 $2 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 22 $1 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 22 $2 +$1 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 22 $1 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 22 $6 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 22 $1 $0 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 22 $26 +$17 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 22 $21 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 22 $20 −$1 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 22 $1 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 22 $5 $0 +6%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET SELL Down 10¢ $1 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Down 18¢ $1 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET SELL Up 97¢ $26 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Up 74¢ $20 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Up 14¢ $1 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET SELL Up 74¢ $1 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $1 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET SELL Up 24¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET SELL Down 76¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET SELL Up 98¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET SELL Up 68¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET SELL Up 75¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET SELL Up 86¢ $29 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $25 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $25 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $25 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET SELL Up 3¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Up 3¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET BUY Up 15¢ $2 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 253 history records