trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤90d | no closed markets | |||||
| all | 20 | -11.2% | -19.6% | 50% | 25% | +1.9% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | -19.6% | 25% | +1.9% |
| 10% ← realistic here | -27.3% | 25% | -7.9% |
| 15% | -34.4% | 10% | -16.8% |
| 20% | -40.8% | 5% | -24.9% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump invokes War Powers against Venezuela by January 31? | Jan 06 | $345 | +$90 | +26% |
| Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 15? | Nov 22 | $11,179 | +$15,663 | +140% |
| Gemini 3.0 Flash released by November 30? | Nov 20 | $2,000 | +$4 | +0% |
| Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025? | Nov 18 | $28,187 | +$7,385 | +26% |
| Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 22? | Nov 14 | $21,218 | +$1,076 | +5% |
| Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30? | Nov 11 | $43,429 | +$2,321 | +5% |
| Will Trump say "Hottest" during "60 Minutes" on November 2? | Nov 11 | $62 | −$62 | -100% |
| Will Trump say "Kamala" during "60 Minutes" on November 2? | Nov 11 | $364 | −$364 | -100% |
| James Comey arrested by October 31? | Nov 11 | $393 | −$393 | -100% |
| Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15? | Nov 04 | $11,998 | −$9,110 | -76% |
| Will Elon Musk be the #1 searched person on Google this year? | Nov 04 | $1 | $0 | -7% |
| Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI? | Nov 04 | $5 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $130k in October? | Nov 02 | $411 | −$411 | -100% |
| Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31? | Nov 01 | $42,595 | +$4,417 | +10% |
| Will Coinbase Global (COIN) beat quarterly earnings? | Oct 30 | $324 | +$1 | +0% |
| Will the People's Party for Freedom and Democracy win the second most | Oct 30 | $502 | −$30 | -6% |
| Will Alphabet (GOOGL) beat quarterly earnings? | Oct 29 | $1,079 | +$256 | +24% |
| Will Drake release an album by October 24? | Oct 25 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| 30-year mortgage rate below 6% by December 31? | Oct 23 | $600 | −$76 | -13% |
| Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on October 22? | Oct 23 | $11 | +$4 | +41% |