Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T04:23:31+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
69 0x6965…0fee crypto 56 markets active 0h ago coverage 13d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage! high turnover
Total PnL −$6 (-0%) realized −$6 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +8% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -17% what you keep after slip
Net edge-17%after slip
Net WR50%break-even
Win rate59%33W / 23L
Whale WR60%big bets
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$139per market
Trades / day27.1pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$142
7 days−$185
14 days−$181
30 days−$181
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$181
world 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)-2.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 47 +5.2% -4.8% 57% 47% -11.7%
≤30d 56 +8.1% -2.2% 59% 50% -11.6%
≤90d 56 +8.1% -2.2% 59% 50% -11.6%
all 56 +8.1% -2.2% 59% 50% -11.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover27.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -2.2% 50% -11.6%
10% ← realistic here -11.6% 41% -20.1%
15% -20.1% 39% -27.8%
20% -28.0% 36% -34.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 16% · top 2 30% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -2% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
15% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +8% · $-wt -2% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 60% (≥$500) strong on big bets
Persistence
early +17% → late -1% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
5.9 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$69 vs −$106 · ×0.65 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.93 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

13d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$6
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)59%
Wins / losses33 / 23
Whale WR (big bets)60%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)56 / 56
History coverage13d
Avg bet$139
Trades / day27.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 56 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 17 $800 +$79 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 17 $836 +$353 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 17 $89 −$89 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 17 $713 +$103 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 17 $729 −$729 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 17 $418 +$314 +75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 17 $165 −$156 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 17 $301 +$8 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 17 $161 +$13 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 15 $39 −$39 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 12 $506 −$506 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 12 $254 −$254 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 12 $84 −$84 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 12 $55 +$47 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 12 $353 +$240 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 12 $152 −$152 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 12 $52 −$52 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 12 $50 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 12 $84 +$316 +376%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 12 $73 +$62 +85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 12 $155 +$134 +87%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 12 $81 −$81 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 12 $85 +$55 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 12 $82 +$33 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 12 $82 +$28 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 12 $60 +$8 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 12 $151 +$90 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 12 $101 −$101 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 12 $146 +$107 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 12 $90 −$90 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 11 $53 +$37 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 11 $44 +$48 +109%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 11 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 11 $65 −$5 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 11 $36 +$29 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 10 $32 +$32 +100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 10 $67 +$35 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 10 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 10 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 10 $42 −$27 -65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 10 $72 −$3 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 10 $30 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 10 $16 −$2 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 10 $7 +$8 +113%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 10 $84 +$16 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 10 $6 +$9 +134%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 10 $42 +$3 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 05 $10 +$5 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 05 $30 +$16 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 05 $10 +$20 +194%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $73 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $9 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $4 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $3 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $175 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $10 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $10 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $21 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $1 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $10 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $34 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $5 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $49 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $5 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $2 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $18 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $36 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $202 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $4 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $29 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $55 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $18 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $5 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $4 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $2 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $7 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $2 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $6 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $758 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $37 33m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 402 history records