Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T09:21:43+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

69
0x6964…ef53
other · 232 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$1,331 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$1,623 · open −$73
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$6,610
Realized+$1,623
Unrealized−$73
Win rate (resolved)83%
Wins / losses189 / 39
Whale WR (big bets)75%
Est. fees paid−$4
Open positions4
Markets (closed)228 / 232
Avg bet$3,239
Trades / day132.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit51%
Chart Positions 4 History 228 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$55
7 days+$220
14 days+$36
30 days+$1,623
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Yes 60¢ 67¢ $2,866 $3,203 +$337 (+12%)
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 11, 2026? No 100¢ 100¢ $2,688 $2,696 +$8 (+0%)
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Yes 28¢ 26¢ $646 $607 −$38 (-6%)
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Yes 19¢ 4¢ $483 $103 −$380 (-79%)
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on May 25? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Zelenskyy post 100-119 posts from May 19 to May 26, 2026? Yes 25¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026? Yes 20¢ 0¢ $910 $0 −$910 (-100%)
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? Yes 41¢ 0¢ $1,755 $0 −$1,755 (-100%)
Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from May 26 to June 2, 2026? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026? Yes 71¢ 0¢ $2,583 $0 −$2,583 (-100%)
Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from May 19 to May 26, 2026? Yes 14¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Jun 12 $326 +$3 +1%
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on June 10? Jun 11 $252 $0 +0%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026? Jun 10 $28,910 +$41 +0%
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026? Jun 10 $10,104 +$10 +0%
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on June 9? Jun 10 $1,788 +$2 +0%
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on June 9? Jun 10 $914 +$1 +0%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on Ju Jun 10 $33 $0 +0%
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on Jun Jun 10 $6 $0 +0%
Will Ted Cruz post 120-139 posts from June 2 to June 9, 2026? Jun 10 $389 +$4 +1%
Will Zelenskyy post 120-139 posts from June 2 to June 9, 2026? Jun 09 $297 +$2 +1%
Will Ted Cruz post 160-179 posts from June 2 to June 9, 2026? Jun 09 $261 $0 +0%
Will Ted Cruz post 140-159 posts from June 2 to June 9, 2026? Jun 09 $651 +$1 +0%
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? Jun 09 $3,254 +$1,665 +51%
Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from June 2 to June Jun 09 $49 $0 +0%
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from June 2 to June Jun 09 $80 +$1 +2%
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? Jun 09 $2,597 −$1,636 -63%
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? Jun 09 $52 −$36 -70%
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwi Jun 09 $129 $0 +0%
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on June 8? Jun 09 $71 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on Ju Jun 09 $73 $0 +0%
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on Jun Jun 09 $1,043 +$17 +2%
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on Jun Jun 09 $1,521 +$1 +0%
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on Jun Jun 09 $115 $0 +0%
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on Jun Jun 09 $587 +$5 +1%
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on Jun Jun 09 $99 +$2 +2%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026? Jun 08 $15,192 +$763 +5%
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026? Jun 08 $4,022 −$751 -19%
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026? Jun 08 $22,652 +$29 +0%
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026? Jun 08 $2,140 +$2 +0%
Will there be 5 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldw Jun 08 $18,083 +$46 +0%
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on Jun Jun 08 $500 +$1 +0%
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on Jun Jun 08 $458 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on Ju Jun 08 $80 $0 +0%
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on Jun Jun 08 $202 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 42°C on June 7? Jun 07 $761 +$1 +0%
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on Jun Jun 07 $311 +$1 +0%
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on Jun Jun 07 $392 +$3 +1%
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on Jun Jun 07 $5 $0 +0%
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026? Jun 06 $133 −$5 -4%
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026? Jun 06 $26,042 +$1,048 +4%
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026? Jun 06 $73 −$59 -80%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026? Jun 06 $2,628 −$1,118 -42%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 94-95°F on Ju Jun 06 $0 $0 +0%
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on June 5? Jun 06 $230 +$6 +3%
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on June 5? Jun 06 $230 +$5 +2%
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 72-73°F on June 5? Jun 06 $830 +$1 +0%
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be 71°F or below on June 5? Jun 06 $322 $0 +0%
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on June 5? Jun 06 $250 +$4 +2%
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on Jun Jun 06 $106 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on June 5? Jun 06 $290 $0 +0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 68% +$776
politics 15% +$291
weather 9% +$462
sports 5% +$58
tech 2% +$35
world 1% −$3
crypto 0% −$70
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? SELL Yes 5¢ $22 7m
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 26¢ $107 20m
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 64¢ $3 36m
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 64¢ $6 36m
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 64¢ $3 37m
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 64¢ $13 37m
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 67¢ $42 41m
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 66¢ $100 41m
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 66¢ $100 46m
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 25¢ $3 49m
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 25¢ $11 50m
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? SELL Yes 28¢ $681 51m
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? SELL Yes 3¢ $4 52m
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? SELL Yes 3¢ $5 52m
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 27¢ $140 52m
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 71¢ $55 53m
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 71¢ $2 53m
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 71¢ $299 55m
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 23¢ $36 1h
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 71¢ $109 1h
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 11, 2026? BUY No 100¢ $100 1h
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? SELL Yes 4¢ $3 1h
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? SELL Yes 4¢ $16 1h
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 72¢ $7 4h
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 16¢ $4 4h
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 16¢ $16 4h
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 16¢ $12 4h
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 12¢ $25 4h
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 71¢ $137 4h
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 17¢ $99 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +6%
net ROI/market (all)-9.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 58 -4.9% -14.0% 88% 2% -9.3%
≤30d 228 +0.2% -9.3% 83% 6% -9.1%
≤90d 228 +0.2% -9.3% 83% 6% -9.1%
all 228 +0.2% -9.3% 83% 6% -9.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover132.1 tr/day
realistic slip~18%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.3% 6% -9.1%
10% -18.0% 4% -17.8%
15% ← realistic here -25.9% 2% -25.8%
20% -33.2% 1% -33.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $6,609.88 · official $6,609.88 (match) · 3500 history records