Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T07:42:20+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
69 0x695e…6803 crypto 1026 markets active 0h ago coverage 12d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 11d only
✗ bot/MM pace (210 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$3,602 (-8%) realized −$3,602 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -6% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -28% what you keep after slip
Net edge-28%after slip
Net WR11%break-even
Win rate82%841W / 185L
Whale WR83%big bets
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$46per market
Trades / day210.1pace
Kalshi-fit89%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$366
7 days−$937
14 days−$3,297
30 days−$3,297
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 93% −$3,221
other 7% −$76
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (210 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +11%
net ROI/market (all)-14.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 297 -16.2% -24.2% 47% 33% -22.6%
≤30d 1026 -5.9% -14.8% 82% 11% -15.9%
≤90d 1026 -5.9% -14.8% 82% 11% -15.9%
all 1026 -5.9% -14.8% 82% 11% -15.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover210.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.8% 11% -15.9%
10% ← realistic here -23.0% 10% -23.9%
15% -30.4% 9% -31.3%
20% -37.2% 9% -38.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 6% · top 2 11% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -7% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
86% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -6% · $-wt -7% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 83% (≥$500) strong on big bets
Persistence
early -1% → late -10% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
2.4 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$4 vs −$34 · ×0.11 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.48 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

12d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$3,602
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)82%
Wins / losses841 / 185
Whale WR (big bets)83%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1026 / 1026
History coverage12d ⚠
Avg bet$46
Trades / day210.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit89%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1026 Trades
no open positions (3 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 17 $53 −$50 -94%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 17 $154 −$150 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 17 $230 +$86 +37%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 17 $65 −$62 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 17 $103 −$103 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 17 $62 −$62 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 17 $62 −$62 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 17 $205 +$95 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 17 $203 +$45 +22%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$6 +110%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$5 +105%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$5 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 16 $11 +$11 +106%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 16 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 16 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 16 $4 −$4 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 16 $4 −$4 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 16, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 16 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 16 $4 −$4 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 16, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Up 12¢ $53 21m
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $51 24m
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $102 26m
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $27 30m
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $204 31m
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $2 33m
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Down 13¢ $11 34m
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Down 30¢ $52 36m
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Up 15¢ $11 40m
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $52 41m
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $205 45m
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Up 8¢ $11 47m
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $26 49m
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $26 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $247 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $203 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $103 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $5 18h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $5 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 22¢ $5 19h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $5 19h
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $5 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Up 15¢ $5 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Down 24¢ $5 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Up 23¢ $5 19h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $5 20h
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $5 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Down 21¢ $5 21h
BNB Up or Down - June 16, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $4 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $5 23h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records