Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T21:28:19+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

69
0x6938…ad0e
crypto · 1122 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$16 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$18 · open −$3
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$18
Unrealized−$3
Win rate (resolved)98%
Wins / losses1101 / 19
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions2
Markets (closed)1120 / 1122
History coverage5d
Avg bet$14
Trades / day250.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit70%
Chart Positions 2 History 1120 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$11
7 days+$18
14 days+$18
30 days+$18
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-42%)
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? Yes 6¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-99%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 13 $19 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 13 $19 $0 +2%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 13 $19 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 13 $19 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 13 $19 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 13 $19 $0 +2%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 13 $19 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 13 $19 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 13 $19 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 13 $19 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 13 $18 +$1 +3%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 13 $19 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 13 $19 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 13 $19 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 13 $18 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 13 $19 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 13 $19 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 13 $18 +$1 +3%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 13 $19 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 13 $19 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $19 $0 +2%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 13 $19 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 13 $19 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 13 $19 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 13 $19 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 13 $19 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 13 $19 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 13 $19 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 13 $19 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 13 $19 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 13 $19 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 13 $19 $0 +2%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 13 $19 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 13 $19 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 13 $19 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 13 $19 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 13 $19 $0 +2%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 13 $19 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 13 $19 $0 +2%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 13 $19 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 13 $19 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 13 $19 $0 +2%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 13 $19 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 13 $19 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 13 $19 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 13 $18 +$1 +3%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 13 $19 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 13 $19 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 13 $19 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 70% +$45
other 29% −$33
sports 1% +$4
economics 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $19 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $19 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $19 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $19 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $19 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $19 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $19 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $19 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $19 2h
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $19 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $18 2h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $19 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $19 2h
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $19 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $19 2h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $18 2h
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $19 2h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $19 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $18 3h
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $19 3h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $19 3h
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $19 3h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $19 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $19 3h
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $19 3h
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $19 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $19 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $19 4h
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $19 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $19 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-9.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1120 -0.2% -9.7% 98% 0% -9.4%
≤30d 1120 -0.2% -9.7% 98% 0% -9.4%
≤90d 1120 -0.2% -9.7% 98% 0% -9.4%
all 1120 -0.2% -9.7% 98% 0% -9.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover250.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.7% 0% -9.4%
10% ← realistic here -18.4% 0% -18.1%
15% -26.3% 0% -26.0%
20% -33.5% 0% -33.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.12 · official $0.12 (match) · 3500 history records