Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T23:58:26+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

69
0x6938…5b4d
crypto · 1176 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$73 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$73 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$4
Realized−$73
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)94%
Wins / losses1109 / 66
Open positions1
Markets (closed)1175 / 1176
History coverage44d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day26.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit64%
Chart Positions 1 History 1175 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$7
7 days−$6
14 days−$26
30 days−$71
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Down 99¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
HYPE Up or Down - June 13, 7PM ET Up 99¢ 94¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-5%)
BNB Up or Down - May 23, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Up 99¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 23, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Up 99¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Up 94¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+6%)
Solana Up or Down - May 31, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Down 97¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+3%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +2%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +5%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +14%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +1%
HYPE Up or Down - June 13, 5PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +12%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +8%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +3%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +3%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +8%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 11AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +12%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +26%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$2 -51%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +3%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +5%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +3%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +2%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +13%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +3%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +3%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +13%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +4%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +3%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +3%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 62% −$38
other 38% −$34
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 9m
HYPE Up or Down - June 13, 7PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 13m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $1 17m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $1 19m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 34m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $1 43m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $1 58m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Down 87¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $1 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $1 2h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $1 2h
HYPE Up or Down - June 13, 5PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 2h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $1 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 4h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $1 6h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 6h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $1 6h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 7h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $1 8h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 11AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $2 8h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $2 8h
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 9h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $2 10h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 9¢ $2 10h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +5%
net ROI/market (all)-11.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 131 -2.6% -11.9% 92% 8% -12.3%
≤30d 1105 -2.4% -11.7% 94% 4% -11.6%
≤90d 1175 -2.2% -11.5% 94% 5% -11.6%
all 1175 -2.2% -11.5% 94% 5% -11.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover26.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.5% 5% -11.6%
10% ← realistic here -20.0% 1% -20.1%
15% -27.7% 1% -27.8%
20% -34.8% 0% -34.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $4.44 · official $2.52 · 2356 history records