Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T11:52:11+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

69
0x6936…894b
crypto · 625 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$252 -8%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$285 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$285
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)58%
Wins / losses363 / 262
Open positions0
Markets (closed)625 / 625
History coverage35d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day29.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 0 History 625 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$7
7 days−$63
14 days−$280
30 days−$240
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Up 88¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on May 18? No 58¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Up 67¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 36°C on May 15? No 62¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on May 13? No 61¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 1, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Down 66¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Up 68¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Up 68¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on May 14? No 68¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 2, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on May 14? No 61¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on May 12? No 62¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$3 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$9 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$2 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$4 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$3 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 10 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 10 $10 +$2 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 10 $10 −$9 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 10 $10 +$3 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 10 $10 +$4 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 10 $10 −$9 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 10 $10 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 10 $10 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 10 $10 +$6 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 10 $10 −$9 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 10 $10 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 10 $10 +$2 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 10 $10 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 10 $10 +$2 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 09 $10 −$10 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 09 $10 +$3 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 09 $10 +$5 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 09 $10 +$5 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 09 $10 +$2 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 09 $10 −$9 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 09 $10 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 09 $10 −$9 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 09 $9 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 09 $8 −$8 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 09 $7 +$4 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 09 $9 −$9 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 09 $9 −$9 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 09 $6 −$6 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 08 $7 −$7 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 08 $9 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 08 $9 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 08 $6 +$4 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 03 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 03 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 03 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 03 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 03 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 03 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 03 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 03 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 03 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 03 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 03 $5 $0 +5%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 70% −$263
weather 28% −$14
other 1% −$8
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $10 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $10 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $10 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $10 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $10 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $10 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Down 82¢ $10 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $10 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $10 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $10 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $10 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $10 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $10 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $10 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $10 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $10 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $10 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $10 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $10 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $10 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $10 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $10 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $10 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $10 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $10 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $10 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $10 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $9 5d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +46%
net ROI/market (all)-18.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 39 -18.7% -26.5% 64% 51% -25.5%
≤30d 521 -10.2% -18.8% 58% 44% -17.8%
≤90d 625 -10.2% -18.7% 58% 46% -17.8%
all 625 -10.2% -18.7% 58% 46% -17.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover29.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -18.7% 46% -17.8%
10% ← realistic here -26.5% 45% -25.7%
15% -33.6% 41% -32.8%
20% -40.1% 30% -39.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1438 history records