Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T02:27:17+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

69
0x6924…1455
crypto · 747 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$1,194 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,206 · open +$7
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$80
Realized−$1,206
Unrealized+$7
Win rate (resolved)47%
Wins / losses350 / 396
Est. fees paid−$307
Open positions1
Markets (closed)746 / 747
History coverage90d
Avg bet$56
Trades / day29.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit84%
Chart Positions 1 History 746 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$95
7 days+$95
14 days+$95
30 days−$544
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
United States vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 0.5 Under 55¢ 60¢ $73 $80 +$7 (+9%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
United States vs. Paraguay: United States O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $13 +$20 +149%
United States to score first vs. Paraguay? Jun 13 $15 −$2 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $63 +$44 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 12 $55 +$6 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 12 $26 −$15 -57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $175 +$19 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 12 $112 −$9 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 12 $81 +$5 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $54 +$25 +47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 12 $81 +$54 +67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 12 $98 +$43 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $71 +$28 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 12 $51 +$15 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 12 $46 −$46 -100%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $112 +$27 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $77 +$28 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 12 $36 −$36 -100%
Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5) Jun 12 $130 −$130 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $56 +$18 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $228 +$29 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 12 $97 −$27 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 12 $41 +$22 +55%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? Jun 12 $257 −$29 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$7 +67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$7 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 12 $20 −$10 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 12 $21 +$7 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$11 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $20 +$10 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 12 $26 −$23 -92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 12 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $36 +$11 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $41 −$32 -78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 12 $21 +$18 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $67 −$42 -63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $67 −$9 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $74 +$56 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $51 +$19 +38%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $55 −$2 -3%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $137 −$83 -61%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T? Jun 12 $101 −$16 -16%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $67 +$34 +50%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Czechia O/U 0.5 Jun 12 $36 +$31 +88%
Modena: Lucia Bronzetti vs Julia Grabher Jun 11 $27 −$27 -100%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 9.5 Jun 11 $53 +$43 +81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 11 $36 +$13 +35%
Mexico vs. South Africa: Mexico O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $29 +$20 +69%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 11 $10 −$10 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 43% −$57
crypto 35% −$724
other 19% −$462
politics 1% −$2
tech 1% −$45
culture 1% +$86
world 0% +$6
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
United States vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 0.5 BUY Under 56¢ $10 47m
United States vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 0.5 BUY Under 56¢ $30 48m
United States vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 0.5 BUY Under 55¢ $33 48m
United States vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 0.5 SELL Over 45¢ $29 48m
United States vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 0.5 SELL Under 50¢ $45 49m
United States vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 0.5 BUY Over 50¢ $33 49m
United States vs. Paraguay: United States O/U 1.5 SELL Over 99¢ $33 53m
United States vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 0.5 BUY Under 44¢ $10 1h
United States vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 0.5 BUY Under 44¢ $10 1h
United States vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 0.5 BUY Under 44¢ $20 1h
United States to score first vs. Paraguay? SELL Yes 99¢ $1 1h
United States vs. Paraguay: United States O/U 1.5 BUY Over 39¢ $13 1h
United States to score first vs. Paraguay? SELL Yes 54¢ $12 1h
United States to score first vs. Paraguay? BUY Yes 62¢ $15 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET SELL Up 95¢ $107 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $63 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $55 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $49 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $46 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $36 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET SELL Down 36¢ $29 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $55 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET SELL Down 56¢ $53 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Down 37¢ $38 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET SELL Up 92¢ $59 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $20 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $22 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET SELL Down 39¢ $20 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $24 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET SELL Down 27¢ $25 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +42%
net ROI/market (all)-12.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 55 +8.9% -1.5% 62% 60% -6.9%
≤30d 65 -5.2% -14.3% 54% 52% -20.8%
≤90d 742 -3.9% -13.1% 47% 42% -12.2%
all 746 -3.6% -12.8% 47% 42% -12.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover29.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.8% 42% -12.2%
10% ← realistic here -21.1% 36% -20.6%
15% -28.7% 29% -28.2%
20% -35.7% 22% -35.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $79.58 · official $79.58 (match) · 2888 history records