Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T13:45:06+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

69
0x6919…da67
sports · 536 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$59 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$81 · open −$115
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1,070
Realized+$81
Unrealized−$115
Win rate (resolved)51%
Wins / losses240 / 235
Est. fees paid−$223
Open positions61
Markets (closed)475 / 536
History coverage45d
Avg bet$31
Trades / day31.7
Drawdown94%
Kalshi-fit88%
Chart Positions 61 History 475 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$240
7 days−$207
14 days+$121
30 days−$134
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will FURIA win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Yes 5¢ 6¢ $70 $85 +$15 (+21%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5 Over 71¢ 70¢ $50 $50 −$0 (-1%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Team Falcons 77¢ 90¢ $40 $46 +$6 (+15%)
Will Spain reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 78¢ 80¢ $39 $40 +$1 (+3%)
Will Uzbekistan advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 69¢ 68¢ $34 $34 −$0 (-1%)
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026? No 68¢ 74¢ $30 $32 +$2 (+8%)
Will Panama advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 67¢ 64¢ $34 $32 −$2 (-5%)
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Vitality 76¢ 78¢ $30 $31 +$1 (+2%)
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 FURIA 63¢ 62¢ $30 $30 −$0 (-1%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 Over 44¢ 44¢ $30 $30 −$0 (-1%)
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15? No 70¢ 68¢ $30 $29 −$1 (-2%)
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No 61¢ 50¢ $30 $25 −$5 (-17%)
Will Donald Trump sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31? No 66¢ 55¢ $30 $25 −$5 (-17%)
Will Qatar advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 80¢ 82¢ $24 $25 +$1 (+3%)
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Switzerland O/U 1.5 Over 75¢ 74¢ $25 $24 −$0 (-2%)
Map Handicap: LGC (-1.5) vs PARIVISION (+1.5) PARIVISION 69¢ 64¢ $25 $23 −$2 (-7%)
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026? Yes 15¢ 14¢ $25 $23 −$2 (-7%)
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 G2 37¢ 26¢ $30 $21 −$9 (-29%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? No 77¢ 69¢ $23 $21 −$2 (-10%)
Will Team Falcons win an S tier event in 2026? No 51¢ 52¢ $20 $21 +$0 (+1%)
Will France reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 80¢ 80¢ $20 $20 +$0 (+1%)
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026? Yes 62¢ 36¢ $35 $20 −$14 (-42%)
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? Yes 61¢ 60¢ $20 $20 −$0 (-1%)
Belgium vs. Egypt: Belgium O/U 1.5 Over 55¢ 54¢ $20 $20 −$0 (-2%)
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? Yes 9¢ 6¢ $26 $20 −$6 (-25%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $20 +$10 +48%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 Jun 13 $30 +$28 +93%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $71 −$26 -36%
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5) Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T? Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5) Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Bosnia-Herzegovina O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? Jun 13 $30 −$30 -100%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 13 $61 −$4 -7%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $20 +$10 +52%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $50 +$4 +8%
Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5) Jun 13 $40 −$1 -3%
Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs TheMongolz (+1.5) Jun 13 $61 +$39 +64%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 Jun 13 $10 −$10 -99%
United States vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 0.5 Jun 13 $10 +$7 +65%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+3.5) Jun 12 $30 +$17 +55%
Bank of England rate hike in 2026? Jun 12 $30 −$3 -9%
World Cup: Unbeaten Champion? Jun 12 $12 $0 -0%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $50 +$11 +23%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $20 −$1 -3%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Natus Vincere (-3.5) vs Legacy (+3.5) Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $30 −$30 -100%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $17 −$17 -100%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5) Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5) Jun 12 $30 −$30 -100%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $40 −$40 -100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Falcons (-3.5) vs BetBoom Team (+3.5) Jun 12 $51 −$51 -100%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 12 $112 −$112 -100%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? Jun 12 $51 +$10 +19%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $40 +$13 +32%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Vitality (-3.5) vs 9z (+3.5) Jun 12 $10 +$6 +55%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T? Jun 12 $31 +$15 +50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 Jun 12 $20 +$23 +114%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $72 +$6 +8%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $16 −$11 -68%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner Jun 12 $10 +$10 +101%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $41 −$3 -8%
Map Handicap: MGLZ (-1.5) vs B8 (+1.5) Jun 12 $12 +$18 +158%
Will Natus Vincere win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Jun 12 $41 −$19 -47%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $20 +$10 +50%
Will SpaceX raise between $70B and $80B in its IPO? Jun 12 $26 −$25 -97%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T? Jun 12 $16 −$9 -58%
Spread: Mexico (-1.5) Jun 11 $10 +$8 +75%
Spread: Mexico (-2.5) Jun 11 $10 −$3 -34%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $61 +$32 +53%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $52 +$5 +10%
Will Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Jun 11 $61 +$35 +58%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 74% −$246
other 9% +$119
world 6% +$150
crypto 5% −$36
finance 2% +$27
tech 1% −$27
politics 1% −$25
economics 1% +$5
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 1 Winner SELL Team Falcons 100¢ $30 3m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 28¢ $10 33m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY Monte 11¢ $10 38m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 45¢ $20 39m
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 SELL Under 100¢ $59 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 71¢ $50 2h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 44¢ $31 2h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY Team Falcons 78¢ $20 2h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Switzerland O/U 1.5 BUY Over 75¢ $25 2h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major SELL Natus Vincere 76¢ $30 2h
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner SELL FUT Esports 100¢ $31 2h
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL FUT Esports 81¢ $30 2h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 - Map 1 Winner BUY G2 59¢ $20 2h
Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5) SELL Aurora Gaming 68¢ $39 2h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Natus Vincere 51¢ $20 2h
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL FUT Esports 66¢ $24 2h
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 BUY Under 51¢ $30 2h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major SELL Natus Vincere 24¢ $16 2h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major SELL Natus Vincere 17¢ $11 3h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Natus Vincere 30¢ $15 3h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Natus Vincere 29¢ $26 3h
Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs TheMongolz (+1.5) SELL TheMongolz 100¢ $100 3h
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 BUY Under 54¢ $10 3h
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 43¢ $10 3h
Map Handicap: LGC (-1.5) vs PARIVISION (+1.5) BUY PARIVISION 69¢ $25 4h
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY FURIA 63¢ $30 4h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Vitality 76¢ $30 4h
Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5) BUY Aurora Gaming 69¢ $20 4h
Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5) BUY Aurora Gaming 69¢ $20 4h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 1 Winner BUY Team Falcons 67¢ $20 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +46%
net ROI/market (all)-6.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 144 -5.8% -14.8% 51% 48% -13.2%
≤30d 295 +3.5% -6.3% 53% 48% -10.8%
≤90d 475 +3.0% -6.8% 51% 46% -9.0%
all 475 +3.0% -6.8% 51% 46% -9.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover31.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -6.8% 46% -9.0%
10% ← realistic here -15.8% 41% -17.7%
15% -23.9% 35% -25.7%
20% -31.4% 26% -33.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1,070.24 · official $1,070.26 (match) · 1675 history records