Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T10:23:23+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

69
0x6918…782b
sports · 378 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$57,944 +10%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$65,421 · open −$7,433
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$47,539
Realized+$65,421
Unrealized−$7,433
Win rate (resolved)59%
Wins / losses213 / 147
Whale WR (big bets)61%
Est. fees paid−$7,167
Open positions18
Markets (closed)360 / 378
Avg bet$1,547
Trades / day147.4
Drawdown66%
Kalshi-fit87%
Chart Positions 18 History 360 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$18,450
7 days−$5,397
14 days+$22,350
30 days+$65,421
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Hanwha Life Esports 49¢ 48¢ $10,045 $9,942 −$102 (-1%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner Hanwha Life Esports 50¢ 100¢ $4,001 $7,998 +$3,997 (+100%)
Game Handicap: ES (-1.5) vs Anubis Gaming (+1.5) Anubis Gaming 54¢ 55¢ $4,298 $4,384 +$86 (+2%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner Hanwha Life Esports 50¢ 50¢ $3,998 $4,040 +$42 (+1%)
Total Kills Over/Under 29.5 in Game 3? Over 54¢ 50¢ $3,024 $2,800 −$224 (-7%)
LoL: Forsaken vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 2 Winner Forsaken 34¢ 32¢ $2,671 $2,573 −$98 (-4%)
LoL: Forsaken vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 1 Winner Forsaken 36¢ 32¢ $2,836 $2,487 −$349 (-12%)
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming - Game 1 Winner Anubis Gaming 31¢ 34¢ $2,285 $2,436 +$151 (+7%)
Games Total: O/U 4.5 Under 65¢ 48¢ $3,054 $2,232 −$821 (-27%)
LoL: Forsaken vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group B Forsaken 19¢ 20¢ $2,198 $2,224 +$26 (+1%)
Game Handicap: KCB (-1.5) vs Forsaken (+1.5) Karmine Corp Blue 62¢ 54¢ $2,381 $2,068 −$313 (-13%)
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming - Game 2 Winner Anubis Gaming 31¢ 34¢ $1,874 $2,064 +$190 (+10%)
Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs T1 (+1.5) Hanwha Life Esports 34¢ 22¢ $2,957 $1,892 −$1,065 (-36%)
Total Kills Over/Under 29.5 in Game 1? Over 49¢ 100¢ $94 $190 +$97 (+103%)
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group D Anubis Gaming 20¢ 22¢ $88 $99 +$11 (+12%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Hanwha Life Esports 50¢ 0¢ $4,095 $41 −$4,054 (-99%)
Games Total: O/U 3.5 Under 25¢ 0¢ $1,993 $40 −$1,953 (-98%)
Total Kills Over/Under 29.5 in Game 2? Over 56¢ 0¢ $3,080 $27 −$3,052 (-99%)
Game Handicap: GAL (-1.5) vs G2 NORD (+1.5) Galions 41¢ 0¢ $3,061 $0 −$3,061 (-100%)
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Forsaken - Game 2 Winner Forsaken 36¢ 0¢ $1,611 $0 −$1,611 (-100%)
LoL: BOMBA Team vs Anubis Gaming - Game 2 Winner BOMBA Team 42¢ 0¢ $2,101 $0 −$2,101 (-100%)
Game Handicap: HRTS (-1.5) vs Forsaken (+1.5) Forsaken 58¢ 0¢ $4,509 $0 −$4,509 (-100%)
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Forsaken (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group B Forsaken 27¢ 0¢ $1,834 $0 −$1,834 (-100%)
LoL: BOMBA Team vs Anubis Gaming (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group D BOMBA Team 37¢ 0¢ $2,055 $0 −$2,055 (-100%)
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Forsaken - Game 1 Winner Forsaken 36¢ 0¢ $1,964 $0 −$1,964 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $3,543 +$2,516 +71%
LoL: G2 NORD vs Galions - Game 2 Winner Jun 11 $2,512 +$1,528 +61%
LoL: G2 NORD vs Galions (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group C Jun 11 $5,841 +$3,047 +52%
LoL: Misa Esports vs UCAM Esports Club (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group A Jun 11 $1,946 +$8,054 +414%
Game Handicap: ME (-1.5) vs UCAM Esports Club (+1.5) Jun 11 $3,973 +$4,315 +109%
LoL: Misa Esports vs UCAM Esports Club - Game 2 Winner Jun 11 $1,834 +$4,118 +224%
LoL: Misa Esports vs UCAM Esports Club - Game 1 Winner Jun 11 $1,824 +$4,252 +233%
Game Handicap: EWI (-1.5) vs HMBLE (+1.5) Jun 11 $3,207 −$3,179 -99%
Game Handicap: GAL (-1.5) vs G2 NORD (+1.5) Jun 11 $3,092 −$3,061 -99%
Game Handicap: ANB (-1.5) vs BOMBA Team (+1.5) Jun 11 $776 −$774 -100%
LoL: BOMBA Team vs Anubis Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 11 $2,101 −$2,101 -100%
LoL: BOMBA Team vs Anubis Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 11 $1,868 −$1,866 -100%
LoL: BOMBA Team vs Anubis Gaming (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group D Jun 11 $2,056 −$2,055 -100%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $3,811 −$3,781 -99%
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Forsaken - Game 2 Winner Jun 11 $1,613 −$1,611 -100%
Game Handicap: HRTS (-1.5) vs Forsaken (+1.5) Jun 11 $4,529 −$4,509 -100%
LoL: G2 NORD vs Galions - Game 1 Winner Jun 11 $3,068 −$3,049 -99%
LoL: E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS vs HMBLE - Game 2 Winner Jun 11 $584 −$583 -100%
LoL: E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS vs HMBLE (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group A Jun 11 $2,539 −$2,485 -98%
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Forsaken (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group B Jun 11 $1,848 −$1,834 -99%
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Forsaken - Game 1 Winner Jun 11 $1,969 −$1,964 -100%
LoL: E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS vs HMBLE - Game 1 Winner Jun 11 $1,708 −$1,675 -98%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $830 +$283 +34%
LoL: Galions vs WLGaming Esports (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group C Jun 11 $1,047 +$120 +12%
LoL: Galions vs WLGaming Esports - Game 2 Winner Jun 11 $1,704 +$364 +21%
Game Handicap: GAL (-1.5) vs WLGaming Esports (+1.5) Jun 11 $1,919 +$858 +45%
LoL: Galions vs WLGaming Esports - Game 1 Winner Jun 11 $2,810 +$515 +18%
LoL: PCIFIC vs Forsaken - Game 2 Winner Jun 11 $2,759 +$1,562 +57%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $3,104 +$2,538 +82%
LoL: PCIFIC vs Forsaken (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group B Jun 11 $4,208 +$1,759 +42%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $13 −$13 -100%
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 11 $20 −$20 -100%
Game Handicap: ME (-1.5) vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS (+1.5) Jun 11 $1,627 −$1,627 -100%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $2,089 −$2,089 -100%
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS - Game 1 Winner Jun 11 $1,021 −$1,021 -100%
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS - Game 2 Winner Jun 11 $1,017 −$1,017 -100%
LoL: PCIFIC vs Forsaken - Game 1 Winner Jun 11 $2,752 −$2,752 -100%
LoL: G2 NORD vs Partizan Sangal - Game 1 Winner Jun 11 $1,261 −$1,261 -100%
Game Handicap: ES (-1.5) vs Anubis Gaming (+1.5) Jun 11 $2,089 −$2,089 -100%
LoL: G2 NORD vs Partizan Sangal (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group C Jun 11 $820 −$820 -100%
LoL: G2 NORD vs Partizan Sangal - Game 2 Winner Jun 11 $1,377 −$1,377 -100%
Game Handicap: FSK (-1.5) vs PCIFIC (+1.5) Jun 11 $2,149 −$2,149 -100%
Game Handicap: G2N (-1.5) vs Partizan Sangal (+1.5) Jun 11 $3,514 −$3,514 -100%
LoL: Frites Esports Club vs BOMBA Team - Game 1 Winner Jun 10 $2 +$2 +108%
Games Total: O/U 3.5 Jun 10 $2 −$2 -100%
LoL: FlyQuest vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner Jun 10 $19 −$19 -100%
LoL: BOMBA Team vs MAGAZA (BO1) - EMEA Masters Swiss Stage Jun 10 $23 −$23 -100%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2? Jun 10 $104 −$104 -100%
LoL: Leviatan Esports vs paiN Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 10 $88 −$88 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 89% +$62,699
other 11% −$4,711
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Game Handicap: ES (-1.5) vs Anubis Gaming (+1.5) BUY Anubis Gaming 54¢ $508 14m
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Anubis Gaming 32¢ $31 57m
Game Handicap: ES (-1.5) vs Anubis Gaming (+1.5) BUY Anubis Gaming 54¢ $6 1h
Game Handicap: KCB (-1.5) vs Forsaken (+1.5) SELL Karmine Corp Blue 57¢ $591 1h
Game Handicap: ES (-1.5) vs Anubis Gaming (+1.5) BUY Anubis Gaming 54¢ $54 1h
Game Handicap: ES (-1.5) vs Anubis Gaming (+1.5) BUY Anubis Gaming 54¢ $54 1h
Game Handicap: ES (-1.5) vs Anubis Gaming (+1.5) BUY Anubis Gaming 54¢ $352 1h
Game Handicap: ES (-1.5) vs Anubis Gaming (+1.5) BUY Anubis Gaming 54¢ $3 1h
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming - Game 1 Winner BUY Anubis Gaming 32¢ $57 1h
Game Handicap: ES (-1.5) vs Anubis Gaming (+1.5) BUY Anubis Gaming 54¢ $3 1h
Game Handicap: ES (-1.5) vs Anubis Gaming (+1.5) BUY Anubis Gaming 54¢ $3 1h
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming - Game 1 Winner BUY Anubis Gaming 32¢ $2 1h
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming - Game 1 Winner BUY Anubis Gaming 32¢ $114 1h
Game Handicap: ES (-1.5) vs Anubis Gaming (+1.5) BUY Anubis Gaming 54¢ $3 1h
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Anubis Gaming 32¢ $114 1h
LoL: Forsaken vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 2 Winner BUY Forsaken 38¢ $94 1h
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming - Game 1 Winner BUY Anubis Gaming 32¢ $2 1h
LoL: Forsaken vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 2 Winner BUY Forsaken 38¢ $635 1h
LoL: Forsaken vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 2 Winner BUY Forsaken 38¢ $7 1h
LoL: Forsaken vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 2 Winner BUY Forsaken 38¢ $306 1h
Game Handicap: KCB (-1.5) vs Forsaken (+1.5) BUY Karmine Corp Blue 62¢ $2,107 1h
Game Handicap: KCB (-1.5) vs Forsaken (+1.5) BUY Karmine Corp Blue 62¢ $310 1h
LoL: Forsaken vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 2 Winner BUY Forsaken 38¢ $17 1h
Game Handicap: KCB (-1.5) vs Forsaken (+1.5) BUY Karmine Corp Blue 62¢ $4 1h
LoL: Forsaken vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 2 Winner BUY Forsaken 38¢ $19 1h
Game Handicap: KCB (-1.5) vs Forsaken (+1.5) BUY Karmine Corp Blue 62¢ $2 1h
Game Handicap: KCB (-1.5) vs Forsaken (+1.5) BUY Karmine Corp Blue 60¢ $592 1h
Game Handicap: KCB (-1.5) vs Forsaken (+1.5) BUY Karmine Corp Blue 62¢ $3 1h
Game Handicap: KCB (-1.5) vs Forsaken (+1.5) BUY Karmine Corp Blue 62¢ $2 1h
Game Handicap: KCB (-1.5) vs Forsaken (+1.5) BUY Karmine Corp Blue 62¢ $12 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +59%
net ROI/market (all)+9.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 122 -13.9% -22.1% 48% 48% -11.7%
≤30d 360 +20.5% +9.0% 59% 59% +1.5%
≤90d 360 +20.5% +9.0% 59% 59% +1.5%
all 360 +20.5% +9.0% 59% 59% +1.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover147.4 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +9.0% 59% +1.5%
10% -1.4% 55% -8.2%
15% ← realistic here -11.0% 47% -17.1%
20% -19.7% 38% -25.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $47,538.95 · official $47,539.55 (match) · 3500 history records