Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T14:36:24+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

69
0x6917…72fe
world · 36 markets active 0h ago
1.0score
+$1 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$1 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fresh edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$1
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)31%
Wins / losses11 / 25
Open positions0
Markets (closed)36 / 36
History coverage252d
Avg bet$17
Trades / day0.5
Drawdown31%
Kalshi-fit75%
Chart Positions 0 History 36 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$0
7 days+$0
14 days+$0
30 days+$0
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by Jun 13 $5 $0 +0%
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Jun 13 $42 $0 +0%
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra Jun 13 $14 $0 +0%
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? Jun 11 $1 $0 -1%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? Jun 10 $25 $0 +1%
Iran Nuke before 2027? Jun 09 $26 $0 +0%
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia Jun 08 $26 $0 +0%
Iran leadership change by June 30? Jun 07 $110 $0 -0%
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? Jun 07 $14 $0 -0%
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Jun 06 $17 $0 +0%
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Feb 01 $12 $0 +2%
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025? Jan 31 $8 $0 +1%
Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-11-30? Dec 14 $4 +$1 +18%
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Nov 27 $4 $0 -10%
Miami vs. Virginia Tech Nov 22 $4 $0 +0%
Panthers vs. 49ers Nov 22 $9 $0 +0%
Will MetaMask launch a token by June 30? Nov 21 $33 $0 +0%
Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 Champions League? Nov 21 $4 $0 +0%
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Nov 21 $12 $0 +0%
Will Barcelona win on 2025-11-29? Nov 20 $13 $0 +0%
Will Brighton win on 2025-11-22? Nov 20 $8 $0 +0%
Will Barcelona win on 2025-11-22? Nov 19 $8 $0 +0%
Will Alibaba have the top AI model on December 31? Nov 19 $8 $0 +1%
Will Trump pardon Edward Snowden in 2025? Oct 10 $8 $0 +0%
Will Ethereum hit $17,000 by December 31? Oct 09 $21 $0 +0%
Trump out as President in 2025? Oct 09 $2 $0 -2%
Will Bitcoin dip to $90k in October? Oct 08 $8 $0 +0%
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League? Oct 08 $8 $0 +0%
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Oct 07 $44 $0 +0%
Will Xi Jinping be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025? Oct 07 $18 $0 +0%
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Singapore Grand Prix? Oct 07 $10 $0 +4%
Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025? Oct 06 $17 $0 -1%
Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Oct 06 $8 $0 +0%
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals? Oct 05 $18 $0 +0%
Will Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025? Oct 05 $8 $0 +1%
Will Trump meet with iShowSpeed in 2025? Oct 05 $50 $0 +0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
world 43% $0
other 20% +$1
politics 19% $0
sports 7% $0
crypto 6% $0
culture 4% $0
tech 1% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by SELL No 96¢ $5 4m
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by BUY No 96¢ $5 1h
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? SELL No 86¢ $27 4h
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? BUY No 86¢ $27 7h
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra SELL No 22¢ $12 8h
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra SELL No 22¢ $2 8h
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra BUY No 22¢ $14 10h
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? SELL No 86¢ $15 17h
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? BUY No 85¢ $15 18h
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? SELL No 73¢ $1 2d
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? SELL No 96¢ $20 2d
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? SELL No 96¢ $5 2d
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? BUY No 95¢ $25 3d
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? BUY No 74¢ $1 4d
Iran Nuke before 2027? SELL No 90¢ $26 4d
Iran Nuke before 2027? BUY No 90¢ $26 4d
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia SELL No 45¢ $19 4d
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia SELL No 45¢ $1 4d
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia SELL No 45¢ $6 4d
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia BUY No 45¢ $26 4d
Iran leadership change by June 30? SELL No 96¢ $26 5d
Iran leadership change by June 30? BUY No 96¢ $26 6d
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? SELL No 97¢ $14 6d
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? BUY No 97¢ $14 6d
US strike on Cuba by December 31? SELL Yes 42¢ $17 6d
US strike on Cuba by December 31? BUY Yes 42¢ $17 7d
Iran leadership change by June 30? SELL No 96¢ $26 7d
Iran leadership change by June 30? BUY No 96¢ $21 7d
Iran leadership change by June 30? BUY No 96¢ $5 7d
Iran leadership change by June 30? SELL No 96¢ $29 7d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +3%
net ROI/market (all)-9.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 10 +0.0% -9.5% 30% 0% -9.4%
≤30d 10 +0.0% -9.5% 30% 0% -9.4%
≤90d 10 +0.0% -9.5% 30% 0% -9.4%
all 36 +0.4% -9.2% 31% 3% -9.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.5 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.2% 3% -9.3%
10% -17.9% 0% -18.0%
15% -25.8% 0% -25.9%
20% -33.1% 0% -33.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 237 history records