Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T10:20:51+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

69
0x6916…2fd4
crypto · 63 markets active 0h ago
0.5score
+$25,942 +7%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$23,504 · open −$6,841
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$51,971
Realized+$23,504
Unrealized−$6,841
Win rate (resolved)64%
Wins / losses18 / 10
Whale WR (big bets)100%
Open positions50
Markets (closed)28 / 63
Avg bet$6,308
Trades / day378.2
Drawdown10%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 50 History 28 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$13,186
7 days+$15,723
14 days+$23,504
30 days+$23,504
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in June? No 94¢ 95¢ $11,763 $11,850 +$88 (+1%)
Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June? Yes 38¢ 48¢ $5,842 $7,440 +$1,598 (+27%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June? Yes 42¢ 28¢ $7,474 $5,040 −$2,434 (-33%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June? Yes 29¢ 15¢ $5,817 $2,990 −$2,827 (-49%)
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in June? No 99¢ 100¢ $2,813 $2,827 +$14 (+1%)
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in June? No 99¢ 100¢ $2,170 $2,189 +$19 (+1%)
Will Solana dip to $10 in June? No 100¢ 100¢ $1,992 $1,993 +$1 (+0%)
Will Solana dip to $30 in June? No 97¢ 99¢ $1,862 $1,910 +$48 (+3%)
Will Solana dip to $20 in June? No 99¢ 99¢ $1,526 $1,534 +$8 (+1%)
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June? Yes 24¢ 22¢ $1,463 $1,297 −$166 (-11%)
Will XRP dip to $0.20 in June? No 100¢ 100¢ $996 $997 +$1 (+0%)
Will XRP reach $2.80 in June? No 100¢ 100¢ $995 $996 +$1 (+0%)
Will XRP reach $3.00 in June? No 99¢ 100¢ $993 $995 +$2 (+0%)
Will XRP reach $2.40 in June? No 100¢ 100¢ $994 $993 −$1 (-0%)
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in June? Yes 47¢ 36¢ $1,159 $902 −$257 (-22%)
Will XRP reach $2.20 in June? No 99¢ 99¢ $801 $804 +$3 (+0%)
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June? Yes 6¢ 6¢ $864 $800 −$64 (-7%)
Will XRP dip to $0.20 by December 31, 2026? No 95¢ 95¢ $742 $745 +$3 (+0%)
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in June? Yes 71¢ 82¢ $607 $702 +$94 (+15%)
Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in June? Yes 37¢ 10¢ $2,219 $630 −$1,589 (-72%)
Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in June? Yes 12¢ 12¢ $657 $621 −$35 (-5%)
Will Solana dip to $60 in June? Yes 56¢ 44¢ $772 $608 −$164 (-21%)
Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in June? Yes 28¢ 18¢ $855 $554 −$302 (-35%)
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in June? No 99¢ 100¢ $510 $512 +$2 (+0%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in June? Yes 6¢ 3¢ $610 $283 −$327 (-54%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in May? Jun 12 $1 +$13 +1430%
Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in June? Jun 12 $52 −$57 -109%
Will XRP dip to $1.20 in June? Jun 12 $0 −$64 -66598%
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in May? Jun 12 $0 −$69 -433786%
Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in May? Jun 12 $0 −$266 -1642707%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 in June? Jun 12 $50 −$57 -114%
Will Solana dip to $60 in May? Jun 12 $6 −$9 -143%
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May? Jun 12 $52 −$1,970 -3816%
Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in June? Jun 12 $7,983 +$2,309 +29%
Will XRP dip to $0.60 in June? Jun 11 $5,022 +$32 +1%
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in June? Jun 11 $270 +$70 +26%
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in June? Jun 11 $666 −$85 -13%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 in June? Jun 11 $29,020 +$5,865 +20%
Will XRP dip to $0.40 in June? Jun 11 $823 +$1,001 +122%
Will Ethereum reach $2,500 in June? Jun 11 $4,106 +$31 +1%
Will Solana dip to $40 in June? Jun 11 $6,046 +$159 +3%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in June? Jun 10 $4,047 +$6,282 +155%
Will XRP dip to $0.80 in June? Jun 09 $2,166 +$950 +44%
Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in June? Jun 09 $280 −$132 -47%
Will XRP reach $1.80 in June? Jun 07 $1,659 +$295 +18%
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in June? Jun 05 $38,319 +$1,705 +4%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in June? Jun 05 $715 −$280 -39%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 in June? Jun 05 $561 +$58 +10%
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in June? Jun 04 $3,206 +$262 +8%
Will Solana dip to $70 in June? Jun 04 $1,257 +$256 +20%
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in June? Jun 03 $2,421 +$6,744 +279%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in June? Jun 03 $1,738 +$456 +26%
Will Solana reach $160 in June? Jun 03 $1,990 +$4 +0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 99% +$19,154
other 1% −$13
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in June? SELL Yes 3¢ $2 1m
Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in June? SELL Yes 19¢ $13 4m
Will Ethereum reach $2,200 in June? SELL Yes 3¢ $3 6m
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June? BUY Yes 28¢ $59 7m
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in June? SELL Yes 1¢ $16 7m
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in June? SELL Yes 1¢ $0 8m
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in June? SELL Yes 1¢ $1 8m
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in June? BUY Yes 34¢ $39 26m
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in June? BUY No 94¢ $11,763 30m
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in June? SELL No 95¢ $1,053 35m
Will Solana reach $100 in June? SELL Yes 2¢ $6 47m
Will Solana dip to $60 in June? BUY Yes 40¢ $1 58m
Will Solana dip to $60 in June? BUY Yes 40¢ $1 58m
Will Solana dip to $60 in June? BUY Yes 40¢ $1 58m
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in June? BUY No 94¢ $961 1h
Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in June? SELL Yes 3¢ $58 1h
Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June? SELL Yes 46¢ $324 1h
Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in June? SELL Yes 3¢ $0 1h
Will Solana reach $120 in June? BUY Yes 1¢ $9 1h
Will Solana dip to $60 in June? SELL Yes 46¢ $2 1h
Will Solana dip to $60 in June? SELL Yes 46¢ $1 1h
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June? BUY Yes 19¢ $147 2h
Will Solana reach $110 in June? BUY Yes 1¢ $0 2h
Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in June? SELL Yes 3¢ $106 2h
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June? BUY Yes 19¢ $26 2h
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June? BUY Yes 19¢ $13 2h
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June? BUY Yes 19¢ $19 2h
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in June? BUY Yes 71¢ $69 2h
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in June? SELL Yes 1¢ $1 2h
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in June? SELL Yes 1¢ $1 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +39%
net ROI/market (all)+33.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 22 +45.5% +31.6% 55% 36% +6.7%
≤30d 28 +48.0% +33.9% 64% 39% +11.3%
≤90d 28 +48.0% +33.9% 64% 39% +11.3%
all 28 +48.0% +33.9% 64% 39% +11.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover378.2 tr/day
realistic slip~18%
edge survives to15%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +33.9% 39% +11.3%
10% +21.1% 29% +0.7%
15% ← realistic here +9.4% 18% -9.0%
20% -1.3% 14% -18.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $51,970.82 · official $51,936.00 (match) · 3500 history records