Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T09:13:35+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
69 0x6911…12dd crypto 75 markets active 0h ago coverage 1d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (85 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL −$5 (-2%) realized −$5 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -12% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -32% what you keep after slip
Net edge-32%after slip
Net WR0%break-even
Win rate83%62W / 13L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$4per market
Trades / day85.0pace
Kalshi-fit77%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 75% −$5
other 25% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (85 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-19.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 75 -11.5% -19.9% 83% 0% -10.7%
≤30d 75 -11.5% -19.9% 83% 0% -10.7%
≤90d 75 -11.5% -19.9% 83% 0% -10.7%
all 75 -11.5% -19.9% 83% 0% -10.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover85.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -19.9% 0% -10.7%
10% ← realistic here -27.6% 0% -19.2%
15% -34.6% 0% -27.0%
20% -41.0% 0% -34.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 10% · top 2 20% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
100% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -11% · $-wt -1% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -25% → late +2% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$1 · ×0.1 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.49 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$5
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)83%
Wins / losses62 / 13
Open positions0
Markets (closed)75 / 75
History coverage1d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day85.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit77%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 75 Trades
no open positions (3 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +3%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +9%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +3%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +8%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +4%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 4m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 29m
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 53m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 53m
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 53m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 58m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $5 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 2h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 4h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 4h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 4h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 4h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 4h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 4h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 4h
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $5 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 148 history records