Wallet analysis

2026-06-19T11:09:22+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

7.5
score
69 0x6908…bdb2 crypto 410 markets active 1h ago coverage 73d
RISKYcopy with care crypto specialistFresh edge
Total PnL +$3,579 (+36%) realized +$3,579 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +27% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt +10% what you keep after slip
Net edge+10%after slip
Net WR48%break-even
Win rate77%316W / 94L
Drawdown7%max
Avg bet$25per market
Trades / day5.6pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$262
7 days+$672
14 days+$1,465
30 days+$3,015
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$3,409
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +48%
net ROI/market (all)+14.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 34 +45.8% +31.9% 68% 62% +34.4%
≤30d 187 +47.1% +33.1% 73% 57% +34.7%
≤90d 410 +26.7% +14.6% 77% 48% +21.4%
all 410 +26.7% +14.6% 77% 48% +21.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover5.6 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to10%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +14.6% 48% +21.4%
10% +3.6% 32% +9.8%
15% -6.4% 26% -0.8%
20% -15.6% 20% -10.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 6% · top 2 12% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +34% fresh edge ✓
Fragile wins
36% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +27% · $-wt +34% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +11% → late +42% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$18 vs −$25 · ×0.73 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×2.45 per $1 lost it wins $2.45
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

73d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$3,579
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)77%
Wins / losses316 / 94
Open positions0
Markets (closed)410 / 410
History coverage73d
Avg bet$25
Trades / day5.6
Drawdown7%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 410 Trades
no open positions (94 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 19 $42 +$255 +602%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 18 $40 +$7 +16%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 17 $42 +$130 +308%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 17 $41 +$13 +33%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 17 $40 +$1 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 17 $41 +$30 +74%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 16 $41 +$9 +23%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 16 $40 +$6 +14%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 16 $40 +$5 +12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 15 $42 −$40 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 15 $42 +$85 +203%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 15 $41 +$16 +40%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 15 $42 −$40 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 15 $41 +$42 +101%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 14 $42 −$40 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 14 $42 +$116 +275%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 14 $42 −$40 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 14 $42 −$40 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 14 $42 +$49 +119%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 14 $41 +$31 +74%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 14 $42 +$71 +169%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 14 $42 +$54 +130%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 13 $42 +$135 +320%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 13 $40 +$5 +11%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 13 $41 +$16 +39%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 13 $42 −$40 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 13 $42 −$40 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 13 $40 +$2 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 13 $41 +$26 +64%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 13 $42 −$40 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 13 $42 −$40 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 13 $42 −$40 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 13 $41 +$8 +20%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 12 $41 −$40 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 12 $42 −$40 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 12 $40 +$6 +15%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 12 $41 +$44 +105%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 12 $42 −$40 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 12 $42 +$60 +143%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 11 $40 +$4 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 11 $42 −$40 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 11 $41 −$40 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 11 $41 +$25 +61%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 11 $41 +$17 +42%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 11 $41 +$27 +65%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 10 $40 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 10 $41 +$14 +34%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 10 $40 +$1 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 10 $41 +$12 +29%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 10 $41 +$21 +50%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Up 13¢ $42 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $40 30h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Up 23¢ $42 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Down 74¢ $41 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $40 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $41 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $41 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $40 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $40 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $42 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $42 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $41 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Up 23¢ $42 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $41 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Down 12¢ $42 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Up 25¢ $42 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Down 27¢ $42 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Down 31¢ $42 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $42 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $41 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $42 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $42 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Down 23¢ $42 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $40 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $41 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 30¢ $42 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Down 26¢ $42 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $40 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $41 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $42 6d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 752 history records