Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T08:01:04+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

69
0x6902…b4ca
sports · 234 markets active 1h ago
7.5score
+$93,300 +9%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$96,619 · open −$3,318
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$74,219
Realized+$96,619
Unrealized−$3,318
Win rate (resolved)56%
Wins / losses124 / 97
Whale WR (big bets)71%
Est. fees paid−$9,079
Open positions13
Markets (closed)221 / 234
Avg bet$4,670
Trades / day0.7
Drawdown48%
Kalshi-fit96%
Chart Positions 13 History 221 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$13,440
7 days+$46,628
14 days+$47,501
30 days+$104,721
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5) Spirit 61¢ 62¢ $16,400 $16,465 +$65 (+0%)
Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Yes 50¢ 42¢ $17,597 $14,890 −$2,707 (-15%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Team Falcons 67¢ 68¢ $10,000 $10,052 +$52 (+1%)
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 TheMongolz 66¢ 66¢ $10,010 $9,934 −$76 (-1%)
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 FURIA 63¢ 60¢ $6,000 $5,689 −$311 (-5%)
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5) Team Falcons 40¢ 41¢ $5,000 $5,167 +$167 (+3%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 PARIVISION 56¢ 56¢ $5,000 $4,960 −$40 (-1%)
Will Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Yes 15¢ 34¢ $1,230 $2,729 +$1,499 (+122%)
Will FURIA win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Yes 6¢ 4¢ $2,000 $1,579 −$421 (-21%)
Will Falcons win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Yes 10¢ 8¢ $2,000 $1,568 −$432 (-22%)
Will Natus Vincere win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Yes 9¢ 5¢ $1,000 $610 −$390 (-39%)
Will The MongolZ win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Yes 2¢ 1¢ $1,000 $293 −$707 (-71%)
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 Under 47¢ 44¢ $300 $282 −$18 (-6%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Astralis (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group A PARIVISION 71¢ 0¢ $2,000 $0 −$2,000 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs Voca (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stage Voca 32¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: NRG vs B8 - Map 2 Winner B8 68¢ 0¢ $2,000 $0 −$2,000 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs Spirit (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs Spirit 79¢ 0¢ $8,000 $0 −$8,000 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs TheMongolz (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2 TheMongolz 39¢ 0¢ $4,000 $0 −$4,000 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs EYEBALLERS (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stage EYEBALLERS 42¢ 0¢ $2,948 $0 −$2,948 (-100%)
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs PARIVISION (+1.5) Team Falcons 40¢ 0¢ $1,500 $0 −$1,500 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs Legacy (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Playoffs MIBR 35¢ 0¢ $3,000 $0 −$3,000 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group B Team Falcons 76¢ 0¢ $2,000 $0 −$2,000 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Monte (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Monte 30¢ 0¢ $3,000 $0 −$3,000 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 TheMongolz 52¢ 0¢ $4,200 $0 −$4,200 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Voca (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stage Voca 16¢ 0¢ $1,950 $0 −$1,950 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs Natus Vincere (+3.5) Jun 11 $508 +$24 +5%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $9,264 +$5,056 +55%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $10,111 +$5,744 +57%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Aurora Gaming (-3.5) vs Monte (+3.5) Jun 11 $508 +$35 +7%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 11 $6,067 +$3,457 +57%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $10,076 +$3,323 +33%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S Jun 10 $4,261 −$4,200 -99%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 10 $6,385 +$5,069 +79%
Map Handicap: B8 (-1.5) vs BIG (+1.5) Jun 09 $3,064 −$3,000 -98%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $6,097 −$6,000 -98%
Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs BIG (+1.5) Jun 08 $5,389 +$6,656 +124%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $7,038 +$4,984 +71%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $10,121 +$6,624 +65%
Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $6,083 +$5,028 +83%
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5) Jun 07 $10,103 +$5,125 +51%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $3,057 +$5,027 +164%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs 9z (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $3,051 +$3,925 +129%
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs FlyQuest (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $7,065 +$3,080 +44%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs BetBoom Team (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 07 $10,084 +$3,805 +38%
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Atlanta Braves Jun 06 $5 +$8 +165%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $3,047 +$3,233 +106%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs B8 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $5,057 +$3,008 +60%
Counter-Strike: 9z vs FlyQuest (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $5,064 +$3,615 +71%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Monte (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $3,063 −$3,000 -98%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs M80 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $5,064 −$5,000 -99%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs GamerLegion (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 06 $4,071 −$4,000 -98%
Counter-Strike: paiN vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $5,075 −$5,000 -98%
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs FlyQuest (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 05 $6,247 −$6,175 -99%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Sharks (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 04 $5,057 +$3,039 +60%
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 04 $6,184 +$5,112 +83%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Sinners (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 04 $5,781 +$5,094 +88%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs Lynn Vision (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 04 $3,055 −$3,000 -98%
Counter-Strike: NRG vs FlyQuest (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 03 $3,043 +$2,726 +90%
Counter-Strike: Sharks vs Lynn Vision (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 03 $3,045 +$2,955 +97%
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs FlyQuest (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 03 $5,046 +$2,165 +43%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 03 $5,070 +$4,363 +86%
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 03 $5,079 −$5,000 -98%
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs MIBR (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 03 $3,047 −$3,000 -98%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs THUNDER dOWNUNDER (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 02 $6,030 +$1,203 +20%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs Liquid (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 02 $3,050 +$3,768 +124%
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Sharks (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 01 $5,057 −$5,000 -99%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs THUNDER dOWNUNDER (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major St Jun 01 $4,030 −$4,000 -99%
Spurs vs. Thunder May 31 $4,080 −$3,377 -83%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Liquid (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Gro May 23 $5,045 +$2,067 +41%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs PARIVISION (BO3) - CS Asia Championships May 23 $5,064 +$3,707 +73%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs MOUZ (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Pla May 23 $9,701 +$5,068 +52%
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5) May 22 $3,056 −$3,000 -98%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs Legacy (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Playoffs May 22 $3,059 −$3,000 -98%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs TYLOO (BO1) - CS Asia Championships Group A May 20 $3,065 +$7,649 +250%
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Liquid (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group B May 20 $5,060 −$5,000 -99%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 97% +$95,484
other 2% −$2,573
politics 0% +$390
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5) BUY Team Falcons 40¢ $5,090 31m
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5) BUY Spirit 61¢ $16,591 32m
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 BUY Under 47¢ $305 7h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY TheMongolz 66¢ $10,112 7h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Team Falcons 67¢ $10,099 10h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY PARIVISION 56¢ $5,066 10h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FURIA 63¢ $6,067 10h
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Aurora Gaming (-3.5) vs Monte (+3.5) BUY Aurora Gaming 46¢ $508 29h
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs Natus Vincere (+3.5) BUY Spirit 47¢ $508 29h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FURIA 75¢ $10,076 42h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY Aurora Gaming 63¢ $6,067 42h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Spirit 64¢ $9,264 42h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Team Falcons 63¢ $10,111 42h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S BUY TheMongolz 52¢ $4,261 42h
Will The MongolZ win IEM Cologne Major 2026? BUY Yes 2¢ $515 2d
Will FURIA win IEM Cologne Major 2026? BUY Yes 5¢ $1,028 2d
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 BUY B8 55¢ $6,385 2d
Map Handicap: B8 (-1.5) vs BIG (+1.5) BUY B8 28¢ $3,064 2d
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 BUY paiN 46¢ $6,097 3d
Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs BIG (+1.5) SELL G2 100¢ $12,045 3d
Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs BIG (+1.5) BUY G2 43¢ $4,068 3d
Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs BIG (+1.5) BUY G2 47¢ $1,321 4d
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 BUY 9z 56¢ $3,546 4d
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 BUY B8 58¢ $3,544 4d
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 BUY 9z 60¢ $3,492 4d
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 BUY B8 61¢ $6,577 4d
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5) BUY Spirit 66¢ $10,103 4d
Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 BUY paiN 54¢ $6,083 5d
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 BUY TYLOO 37¢ $3,057 5d
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Monte (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 BUY Monte 30¢ $3,063 5d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +55%
net ROI/market (all)-7.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 27 +28.2% +16.0% 74% 67% +18.9%
≤30d 66 +24.7% +12.8% 68% 65% +15.9%
≤90d 139 +8.4% -1.9% 59% 57% +5.9%
all 221 +2.7% -7.1% 56% 55% -0.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.7 tr/day
realistic slip~10%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -7.1% 55% -0.3%
10% ← realistic here -15.9% 52% -9.9%
15% -24.1% 49% -18.6%
20% -31.5% 41% -26.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $74,218.56 · official $74,218.56 (match) · 421 history records