Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T08:58:48+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

68
0x68f7…d428
crypto · 978 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$232 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$232 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$232
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)47%
Wins / losses462 / 516
Open positions0
Markets (closed)978 / 978
History coverage9d
Avg bet$14
Trades / day393.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 978 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$33
7 days−$78
14 days−$232
30 days−$232
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$2 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$2 -21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$1 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 13 $21 +$2 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$8 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$3 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$2 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$2 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 13 $21 −$1 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$3 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$6 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$2 -21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 13 $7 +$2 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$1 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$2 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$1 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$3 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$3 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$3 -27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$1 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$3 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$2 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $21 −$3 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$3 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 12 $21 −$9 -43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$5 -52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$3 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $21 +$8 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$4 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$2 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$11 +102%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$1 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$2 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$1 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$1 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$4 +37%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$232
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET SELL Up 44¢ $9 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $10 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET SELL Up 42¢ $8 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $10 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET SELL Up 45¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET SELL Up 59¢ $13 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET SELL Down 39¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET SELL Down 47¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET SELL Down 88¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET SELL Down 88¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET SELL Up 37¢ $7 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET SELL Up 40¢ $0 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET SELL Up 40¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET SELL Up 40¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET SELL Up 45¢ $9 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET SELL Down 53¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET SELL Down 53¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET SELL Down 53¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $10 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET SELL Down 43¢ $9 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $10 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET SELL Up 54¢ $11 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $10 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +28%
net ROI/market (all)-10.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 820 -0.6% -10.1% 48% 28% -10.2%
≤30d 978 -1.3% -10.7% 47% 28% -11.1%
≤90d 978 -1.3% -10.7% 47% 28% -11.1%
all 978 -1.3% -10.7% 47% 28% -11.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover393.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.7% 28% -11.1%
10% ← realistic here -19.3% 13% -19.6%
15% -27.1% 8% -27.4%
20% -34.2% 3% -34.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records