Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T10:28:04+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

68
0x68f6…9533
crypto · 480 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$4,817 +3%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$4,803 · open +$14
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$1,182
Realized+$4,803
Unrealized+$14
Win rate (resolved)99%
Wins / losses473 / 6
Whale WR (big bets)100%
Open positions1
Markets (closed)479 / 480
Avg bet$292
Trades / day853.1
Drawdown6%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 479 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$3,899
7 days+$4,803
14 days+$4,803
30 days+$4,803
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Down 97¢ 98¢ $1,168 $1,182 +$14 (+1%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $98 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 12 $198 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $198 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 12 $97 +$3 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $197 +$3 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 12 $129 +$4 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $148 +$24 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $96 +$4 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 12 $99 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 12 $193 +$7 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 12 $294 +$6 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $2,310 +$50 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 12 $89 +$11 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 12 $47 +$53 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $73 +$127 +173%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 12 $98 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 12 $375 +$124 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 12 $196 +$4 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $585 +$15 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 12 $170 +$30 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 12 $254 +$46 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 12 $74 +$2 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $178 +$122 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 12 $198 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 12 $641 +$158 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 12 $389 +$20 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 12 $317 +$1,683 +531%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 12 $939 +$161 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 12 $99 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 12 $99 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 12 $588 +$12 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 12 $1,568 +$32 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 12 $966 +$27 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 12 $282 +$7 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 12 $99 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 12 $98 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 12 $129 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 12 $1,277 +$24 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 12 $243 +$7 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 12 $451 +$7 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 12 $99 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 12 $691 +$9 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 12 $100 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 12 $1,094 +$25 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 12 $98 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 12 $99 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 12 $294 +$6 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 12 $99 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 12 $233 +$6 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 12 $99 +$1 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$4,817
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $98 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $98 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $0 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $49 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $49 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $49 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $49 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $4 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $32 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $32 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $29 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $65 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $32 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $87 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $10 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $97 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $86 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $97 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $11 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $69 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $97 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $28 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $14 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $84 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $6 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $43 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $7 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $38 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $99 54m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +3%
net ROI/market (all)-7.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 479 +2.6% -7.1% 99% 3% -6.4%
≤30d 479 +2.6% -7.1% 99% 3% -6.4%
≤90d 479 +2.6% -7.1% 99% 3% -6.4%
all 479 +2.6% -7.1% 99% 3% -6.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover853.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -7.1% 3% -6.4%
10% ← realistic here -16.0% 1% -15.4%
15% -24.1% 1% -23.5%
20% -31.6% 1% -31.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1,181.97 · official $1,181.97 (match) · 3500 history records