Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T16:12:56+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

68
0x68a6…6b78
other · 106 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$65 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$66 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$66
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)7%
Wins / losses7 / 99
Whale WR (big bets)0%
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)106 / 106
History coverage124d
Avg bet$231
Trades / day2.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit58%
Chart Positions 0 History 106 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1
7 days−$1
14 days−$1
30 days−$2
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Wizards vs. Magic Wizards 11¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Mavericks vs. Hornets Mavericks 16¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Rockets vs. Wizards Wizards 11¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Pacers vs. Wizards Pacers 50¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Pelicans vs. Lakers Pelicans 24¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Knicks vs. Raptors Raptors 44¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Jun 14 $16 $0 -0%
Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 14 $917 −$1 -0%
Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? Jun 07 $22 $0 -0%
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 29 $109 $0 -0%
Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026? Apr 20 $53 $0 -0%
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on April Apr 18 $162 $0 -0%
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Apr 18 $172 $0 -0%
Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Apr 18 $185 $0 -0%
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on April Apr 18 $183 $0 -0%
Will Audi be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? Apr 18 $169 $0 -0%
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Apr 17 $345 $0 -0%
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals? Apr 17 $192 $0 -0%
Will Xavier Bertrand win the 2027 French presidential election? Apr 17 $191 $0 -0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in April? Apr 16 $164 $0 -0%
Will Fernando Alonso be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Apr 15 $187 $0 -0%
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 15 $159 $0 -0%
Will the Colorado Rockies win the 2026 World Series? Apr 15 $168 $0 -0%
Will Laurent Wauquiez win the 2027 French presidential election? Apr 14 $200 $0 -0%
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Apr 14 $206 $0 -0%
Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Apr 14 $181 $0 -0%
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Apr 13 $207 $0 -0%
Will Michel Barnier win the 2027 French presidential election? Apr 13 $391 $0 -0%
Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Apr 13 $171 $0 -0%
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Apr 13 $181 $0 -0%
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Apr 13 $201 $0 -0%
Will Sergio Pérez be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Apr 13 $167 $0 -0%
Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Apr 12 $202 $0 -0%
Will Valérie Pécresse win the 2027 French presidential election? Apr 12 $158 $0 -0%
Will Valtteri Bottas be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Apr 11 $368 −$1 -0%
Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 11 $144 $0 -0%
Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 10 $190 $0 -0%
Will Aston Martin be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? Apr 10 $200 $0 -0%
Will the Chicago White Sox win the 2026 World Series? Apr 08 $200 $0 -0%
Will Lithuania win Eurovision 2026? Apr 08 $171 $0 -0%
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 08 $190 $0 -0%
Will Cho Kuk win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election Apr 08 $199 $0 -0%
Will Yaël Braun-Pivet win the 2027 French presidential election? Apr 07 $162 $0 -0%
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 07 $169 $0 -0%
Will Iraq win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 06 $180 $0 -0%
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 06 $338 $0 -0%
Will Han Dong-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election Apr 06 $224 $0 -0%
Will Franco Colapinto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Apr 05 $259 $0 -0%
Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 05 $523 −$1 -0%
Will Portugal win Eurovision 2026? Apr 05 $179 $0 -0%
Will the Washington Nationals win the 2026 World Series? Apr 05 $207 $0 -0%
Will Isack Hadjar be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Apr 05 $362 −$1 -0%
Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026? Apr 04 $186 $0 -0%
Will Jordan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 03 $608 −$1 -0%
Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals? Apr 02 $515 −$1 -0%
Will Lance Stroll be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Apr 02 $224 $0 -0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 50% −$13
politics 19% −$5
sports 17% −$46
economics 4% −$1
tech 4% $0
world 2% −$1
crypto 2% $0
culture 1% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? SELL No 99¢ $16 1h
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? BUY No 99¢ $16 5h
Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 100¢ $24 5h
Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 100¢ $24 11h
Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? SELL No 100¢ $22 7d
Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? BUY No 100¢ $22 8d
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 99¢ $109 15d
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 99¢ $109 31d
Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026? SELL No 100¢ $53 55d
Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 100¢ $204 56d
Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 100¢ $204 56d
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on April SELL No 100¢ $162 56d
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on April BUY No 100¢ $162 56d
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election? SELL No 99¢ $172 56d
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election? BUY No 99¢ $172 56d
Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? SELL No 99¢ $185 57d
Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? BUY No 99¢ $185 57d
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on April SELL No 100¢ $183 57d
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on April BUY No 100¢ $183 57d
Will Audi be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? SELL No 99¢ $169 57d
Will Audi be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? BUY No 99¢ $169 57d
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election? SELL No 99¢ $168 57d
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election? BUY No 99¢ $168 57d
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals? SELL No 100¢ $192 58d
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals? BUY No 100¢ $192 58d
Will Xavier Bertrand win the 2027 French presidential election? SELL No 99¢ $191 58d
Will Xavier Bertrand win the 2027 French presidential election? BUY No 99¢ $191 58d
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election? SELL No 99¢ $177 58d
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election? BUY No 99¢ $177 59d
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in April? SELL No 100¢ $164 59d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-14.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 2 -0.2% -9.7% 0% 0% -9.6%
≤30d 4 -0.2% -9.7% 0% 0% -9.7%
≤90d 74 -0.1% -9.6% 4% 0% -9.6%
all 106 -5.7% -14.7% 7% 0% -9.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2.0 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -14.7% 0% -9.8%
10% -22.9% 0% -18.4%
15% -30.3% 0% -26.3%
20% -37.1% 0% -33.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 302 history records